1origin_date,target_date,horizon,forecast,actual,model22023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,3.500000,3.700000,naive32023-07-01,2023-08-01,1,3.467557,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff42023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,3.500000,3.900000,naive52023-07-01,2023-10-01,3,3.441986,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff62023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,3.700000,3.700000,naive72023-08-01,2023-09-01,1,3.745056,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff82023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,3.700000,3.700000,naive92023-08-01,2023-11-01,3,3.745157,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff102023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,3.700000,3.900000,naive112023-09-01,2023-10-01,1,3.693534,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff122023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,3.700000,3.800000,naive132023-09-01,2023-12-01,3,3.676847,3.800000,AR_BIC_diff142023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,3.900000,3.700000,naive152023-10-01,2023-11-01,1,3.945206,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff162023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,3.900000,3.700000,naive172023-10-01,2024-01-01,3,3.945747,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff182023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,3.700000,3.800000,naive192023-11-01,2023-12-01,1,3.642242,3.800000,AR_BIC_diff202023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,3.700000,3.900000,naive212023-11-01,2024-02-01,3,3.608942,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff222023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,3.800000,3.700000,naive232023-12-01,2024-01-01,1,3.819206,3.700000,AR_BIC_diff242023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,3.800000,3.900000,naive252023-12-01,2024-03-01,3,3.811039,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff262024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,3.700000,3.900000,naive272024-01-01,2024-02-01,1,3.667978,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff282024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,3.700000,3.900000,naive292024-01-01,2024-04-01,3,3.643080,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff302024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive312024-02-01,2024-03-01,1,3.944749,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff322024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,3.900000,3.900000,naive332024-02-01,2024-05-01,3,3.945001,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff342024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive352024-03-01,2024-04-01,1,3.893711,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff362024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,3.900000,4.100000,naive372024-03-01,2024-06-01,3,3.877521,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff382024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,3.900000,3.900000,naive392024-04-01,2024-05-01,1,3.893718,3.900000,AR_BIC_diff402024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,3.900000,4.200000,naive412024-04-01,2024-07-01,3,3.877546,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff422024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,3.900000,4.100000,naive432024-05-01,2024-06-01,1,3.893725,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff442024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,3.900000,4.200000,naive452024-05-01,2024-08-01,3,3.877570,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff462024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,4.100000,4.200000,naive472024-06-01,2024-07-01,1,4.144912,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff482024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,4.100000,4.100000,naive492024-06-01,2024-09-01,3,4.145635,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff502024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive512024-07-01,2024-08-01,1,4.219518,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff522024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,4.200000,4.100000,naive532024-07-01,2024-10-01,3,4.212271,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff542024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive552024-08-01,2024-09-01,1,4.193994,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff562024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive572024-08-01,2024-11-01,3,4.178528,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff582024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,4.100000,4.100000,naive592024-09-01,2024-10-01,1,4.068394,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff602024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,4.100000,4.100000,naive612024-09-01,2024-12-01,3,4.044505,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff622024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,4.100000,4.200000,naive632024-10-01,2024-11-01,1,4.093924,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff642024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,4.100000,4.000000,naive652024-10-01,2025-01-01,3,4.078281,4.000000,AR_BIC_diff662024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive672024-11-01,2024-12-01,1,4.219534,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff682024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive692024-11-01,2025-02-01,3,4.212346,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff702024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,4.100000,4.000000,naive712024-12-01,2025-01-01,1,4.068440,4.000000,AR_BIC_diff722024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,4.100000,4.200000,naive732024-12-01,2025-03-01,3,4.044618,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff742025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,4.000000,4.200000,naive752025-01-01,2025-02-01,1,3.968355,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff762025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,4.000000,4.200000,naive772025-01-01,2025-04-01,3,3.944334,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff782025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive792025-02-01,2025-03-01,1,4.244959,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff802025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,4.200000,4.300000,naive812025-02-01,2025-05-01,3,4.245962,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff822025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,4.200000,4.200000,naive832025-03-01,2025-04-01,1,4.194030,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff842025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,4.200000,4.100000,naive852025-03-01,2025-06-01,3,4.178671,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff862025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,4.200000,4.300000,naive872025-04-01,2025-05-01,1,4.194037,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff882025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,4.200000,4.300000,naive892025-04-01,2025-07-01,3,4.178694,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff902025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,4.300000,4.100000,naive912025-05-01,2025-06-01,1,4.319575,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff922025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,4.300000,4.300000,naive932025-05-01,2025-08-01,3,4.312634,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff942025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,4.100000,4.300000,naive952025-06-01,2025-07-01,1,4.043160,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff962025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,4.100000,4.400000,naive972025-06-01,2025-09-01,3,4.011349,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff982025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive992025-07-01,2025-08-01,1,4.344734,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1002025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,4.300000,,naive1012025-07-01,2025-10-01,3,4.345780,,AR_BIC_diff1022025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,4.300000,4.400000,naive1032025-08-01,2025-09-01,1,4.294125,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff1042025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,4.300000,4.500000,naive1052025-08-01,2025-11-01,3,4.279033,4.500000,AR_BIC_diff1062025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,4.400000,,naive1072025-09-01,2025-10-01,1,4.419503,,AR_BIC_diff1082025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,4.400000,4.400000,naive1092025-09-01,2025-12-01,3,4.412700,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff1102025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,4.400000,4.500000,naive1112025-10-01,2025-11-01,1,4.418670,4.500000,AR_BIC_diff1122025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive1132025-10-01,2026-01-01,3,4.405431,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1142025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,4.500000,4.400000,naive1152025-11-01,2025-12-01,1,4.506871,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff1162025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,4.500000,4.400000,naive1172025-11-01,2026-02-01,3,4.496071,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff1182025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,4.400000,4.300000,naive1192025-12-01,2026-01-01,1,4.368977,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1202025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive1212025-12-01,2026-03-01,3,4.346185,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1222026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,4.300000,4.400000,naive1232026-01-01,2026-02-01,1,4.268892,4.400000,AR_BIC_diff1242026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,4.300000,4.300000,naive1252026-01-01,2026-04-01,3,4.245902,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1262026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,4.400000,4.300000,naive1272026-02-01,2026-03-01,1,4.419558,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1282026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,4.400000,4.300000,naive1292026-02-01,2026-05-01,3,4.412917,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1302026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive1312026-03-01,2026-04-01,1,4.268948,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1322026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,4.300000,4.200000,naive1332026-03-01,2026-06-01,3,4.246017,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff1342026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,4.300000,4.300000,naive1352026-04-01,2026-05-01,1,4.294207,4.300000,AR_BIC_diff1362026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,4.300000,4.100000,naive1372026-04-01,2026-07-01,3,4.279329,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff1382026-05-01,2026-06-01,1,4.300000,4.200000,naive1392026-05-01,2026-06-01,1,4.294213,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff1402026-05-01,2026-08-01,3,4.300000,4.100000,naive1412026-05-01,2026-08-01,3,4.279352,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff1422026-06-01,2026-07-01,1,4.200000,4.100000,naive1432026-06-01,2026-07-01,1,4.168893,4.100000,AR_BIC_diff1442026-06-01,2026-09-01,3,4.200000,4.200000,naive1452026-06-01,2026-09-01,3,4.145808,4.200000,AR_BIC_diff146