Freeze confirmatory design (manifest, registry stamp) and register the 288-run assignment (seed 301)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
7 changed files +11,234 −24
modified
protocol/amendments.csv
+1 −0
@@ -1,3 +1,4 @@ | ||
| 1 | 1 | amendment_id,timestamp_utc,phase,before_or_after_results,document,description,rationale,previous_version_ref |
| 2 | 2 | A-001,2026-10-30T03:00:00Z,02,before_results,configs/budgets.yaml,"Provisional live-inference envelope set by the executor: per benchmark run 4.00 USD / 1500 s / 80 turns per session; per transfer run 12.00 USD / 3600 s; total study envelope 800 USD (pilot + main + transfer + recovery + ablations) with the confirmatory scale to be chosen after the pilot.","The mandate requires a precise budget decision but none was stated; the researcher is not available mid-run; prior UQO studies spent ≈1,079 USD of API inference (WP26), so 800 USD is a conservative envelope. The researcher may raise or lower it; any change will be a new amendment.",n/a |
| 3 | 3 | A-002,2026-10-30T04:40:00Z,06,before_confirmatory_results,src/pgar/evaluation.py,"Final evaluators are now executed on a composed workspace (public bundle + the run's collected out/) instead of the run directory alone, which lacked data/ and made source-grounded checks (F4 'numbers_in_sources') fail for correct answers. All pilot runs evaluated before the fix are re-evaluated with the same oracles; original receipts are kept in runs/pilot/<run>/evaluation_receipt_pre-A002.json.","Pilot diagnosis: F4-dev-01 failed in all four arms with a spurious fabrication violation although every required criterion passed. Harness defect, not an oracle change.",runs/pilot/*/evaluation_receipt_pre-A002.json |
| 4 | +A-003,2026-10-30T05:40:00Z,06,before_confirmatory_results,protocol/preregistration.md,"Preregistration frozen as v1.0 (adds §10 pilot-informed decisions: confirmatory design 24 tasks × 4 arms × 3 repeats = 288 runs, seed 301); freeze manifest protocol/freeze_manifest_conf.json records SHA-256 of all 24 confirmatory bundles and oracles, arm texts, gate, launcher, scheduler, evaluator, configs and analysis scripts; tasks/registry.csv stamped frozen_utc.","Scale decision per §6 of the preregistration using measured pilot costs; no hypothesis, endpoint or analysis rule changed.",git 2c82656 | |
added
protocol/freeze_manifest_conf.json
+263 −0
@@ -0,0 +1,263 @@ | ||
| 1 | +{ | |
| 2 | + "frozen_utc": "2026-10-30T04:02:39+00:00", | |
| 3 | + "split": "conf", | |
| 4 | + "bundles": { | |
| 5 | + "F1-conf-01": { | |
| 6 | + "bundle_json": "a61750dcacf0ee144e2f1612a757cf3b77d74ff0c8a4d05f2ef37fa2dbd94105", | |
| 7 | + "TASK_md": "a1445e54705eb87a7873503e75c51e4f37ad8594693f10839f681fb9238ca91a", | |
| 8 | + "gate_spec": "2435fd30a9f36563592bbfefe3c379975747affc40c42d521c3227215aaf7619" | |
| 9 | + }, | |
| 10 | + "F1-conf-02": { | |
| 11 | + "bundle_json": "c13a30fbc4fa5f8502813a0b7c26d62dad6f731f5dafba69c11fd09e8608f0a1", | |
| 12 | + "TASK_md": "979bd92bb25ae3dda2a47ef6fce427a1db4a9c3f848a86bf09c4f424fcfe6dcb", | |
| 13 | + "gate_spec": "5e2280ad93e5a7edb7d300c499d0e2a12c442513edfe1f25b85c24c282bc01bc" | |
| 14 | + }, | |
| 15 | + "F1-conf-03": { | |
| 16 | + "bundle_json": "a251c5dd2b17dad0a01466fe57338c9c9f3dfbcfed40d69d8205334364a0f1c9", | |
| 17 | + "TASK_md": "89b3ae62efc5d41942ef1484b256066f58b5e6075d63edcbbc69f53e76cdd438", | |
| 18 | + "gate_spec": "485525fd3cc180616a452c24f04aec384c433768a96eef644650ff8d5bfcc5d4" | |
| 19 | + }, | |
| 20 | + "F1-conf-04": { | |
| 21 | + "bundle_json": "0b9030ef4081e6e71f37c13b0009d15acdebb7df22f40be9eb4d8e68b396e17d", | |
| 22 | + "TASK_md": "53fa917644a6c2c67f9a5a7939fd7681fbb32b60ca39cac8d178188f76b5137e", | |
| 23 | + "gate_spec": "1ca2626b0090513853be28b4d434b8b27fa53841260307563418a3eaef27ff1d" | |
| 24 | + }, | |
| 25 | + "F2-conf-01": { | |
| 26 | + "bundle_json": "b5e6926b8612fe84faac744b008f5bfa99c6fcd32e03f4c3262162a983ee8334", | |
| 27 | + "TASK_md": "114f43f61885b229d7f982f413fd2d347e7fa7be0509555a18067c7cbf1b7cad", | |
| 28 | + "gate_spec": "9785bd6f17ce8946989d00b4f847cf13136c7bc3b33f2c7a4c1ff010c214ada4" | |
| 29 | + }, | |
| 30 | + "F2-conf-02": { | |
| 31 | + "bundle_json": "78aa39791388526a1be69f2f020c6bacf51ca0487d2d314341d29745c1dcd42c", | |
| 32 | + "TASK_md": "447a35f0911fb5fa0ee410db5519883ef0774fc71524057bdffba5a00de148f0", | |
| 33 | + "gate_spec": "268541a1253f33df6fdc3a6fb21b1318c1c65b8429adb1aacd1e21b050baa9c6" | |
| 34 | + }, | |
| 35 | + "F2-conf-03": { | |
| 36 | + "bundle_json": "1a8772c6d026ea816c2c9460a9bd61af2625f01427245672c86df5099cb78f9c", | |
| 37 | + "TASK_md": "62706db4c415f5ece303e1f68f949d1f9719ac2b7430d9733ed29965da8ab7b0", | |
| 38 | + "gate_spec": "a6c3198ab94269bf8b99585e56d88cea490ee73143a8b879bc1ac5fbfa74a1ef" | |
| 39 | + }, | |
| 40 | + "F2-conf-04": { | |
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| 42 | + "TASK_md": "b80f25d137f0d04f5223537e07525015a8d6257e5084a83ce87866da7a71a0eb", | |
| 43 | + "gate_spec": "939144536131765675ba640605191be350be3312c9098770179c2db3c9096991" | |
| 44 | + }, | |
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| 48 | + "gate_spec": "240492f4e6d528fdf529ad5d19987f04aac9f15e90c60902f6e847967524f3f1" | |
| 49 | + }, | |
| 50 | + "F3-conf-02": { | |
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| 53 | + "gate_spec": "e17b24eef15436583c727006c17022b1749c3eae73afa72ea55dd5e2b81344b6" | |
| 54 | + }, | |
| 55 | + "F3-conf-03": { | |
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| 126 | + "oracles": { | |
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| 211 | + "F6-conf-02": { | |
| 212 | + "oracle_json": "f7f2d808c8764007bf17157960edac7b5811a80cac28d6e6cf3aca547e81b162", | |
| 213 | + "evaluate_py": "2d13c09b9c3f71bd61a5509cc4f6ec262fc0d851634dbb7659027b2266d20365" | |
| 214 | + }, | |
| 215 | + "F6-conf-03": { | |
| 216 | + "oracle_json": "e605f4646a87a44aa733c28992c93adb555b9c9bed004be061cc3bef0506accf", | |
| 217 | + "evaluate_py": "e4f02908251872ba2e6a08b35f13f7c4887ff09b94a4351f6968ef60e21d3e07" | |
| 218 | + }, | |
| 219 | + "F6-conf-04": { | |
| 220 | + "oracle_json": "0c9223f343f191437ea26a918a2a77e21882e6c16a0a86b30fd200135eedc7b7", | |
| 221 | + "evaluate_py": "3fb94dc5e6e4109a51c2e9e472e98340204a202be63a0f6f7d803d4f9814236d" | |
| 222 | + } | |
| 223 | + }, | |
| 224 | + "protocol": { | |
| 225 | + "protocol/arms/arm_A.md": "7c4936f2e8a8125a7d6010476b4da8c4e4b8479d5f2ee4d505870a0744c35988", | |
| 226 | + "protocol/arms/arm_A_long.md": "f86279ae3194640c213873260108d6d43e0f31ed522c5db5370977e62572b793", | |
| 227 | + "protocol/arms/arm_B.md": "c2c8f685034a0915efa5f49dc682318def68bd00d2186d64094bd22b5be37322", | |
| 228 | + "protocol/arms/arm_C.md": "a779c9f93c477d08fb6b0138571fb50c913289955929614db80e1231c082e9c0", | |
| 229 | + "protocol/arms/arm_D.md": "3d751928296c191bbf40500a9291436e6578bf2f6a908a006bd6416d4fb5399c", | |
| 230 | + "protocol/arms/arm_L.md": "f86279ae3194640c213873260108d6d43e0f31ed522c5db5370977e62572b793", | |
| 231 | + "protocol/arms/common_preamble.md": "935b2032e111f43198a46a5f516d5d871f47884d1da8a966e1dbf5a7bc8f9436", | |
| 232 | + "protocol/arms/gate_feedback_prompt.md": "ecf6ce7a9bf2e142bb92eeff30c0d7f1e14dd3dfd5171eacbc44205759be15a2", | |
| 233 | + "protocol/arms/resume_after_interruption_prompt.md": "6dc1ee35df4d764358a3e64e5dec8bf4442cd2a261c09a44e1128f676326f0b4", | |
| 234 | + "protocol/arms/review_feedback_prompt.md": "ea08bbc6b85e8c9454a851e6c8b91856cc1c0e045ebdfd9883faac608028205b", | |
| 235 | + "protocol/arms/reviewer.md": "83828203e4b95c16d2ac1e764aabc7c7f3e2840eda7c7c93d5e4edc51f335da5", | |
| 236 | + "protocol/arms/task_prompt.md": "a456de794c9f05dacc38a7b8a29fe87ded23647c7576cdc0e47e66c3be79f51d", | |
| 237 | + "protocol/preregistration.md": "7562e596e4ebeb5e372b3447a69ea89c9f61b2d47bce840820fe96b02cd8d260", | |
| 238 | + "src/pgar/runtime_gates.py": "1760d13e9f5bf9cfba92a8c6cd4ceb470cad06fec7759eab21463f5ce44b92f0", | |
| 239 | + "src/pgar/launcher.py": "e27532fc73cf17128c36b90a4f2d1156947d6973e0d73570be13e585cc3f2e10", | |
| 240 | + "src/pgar/scheduler.py": "8e3d05b626686ff8567af7db3f6b5078c1a2b86a9b12a8de5d4db1ea095d4760", | |
| 241 | + "src/pgar/evaluation.py": "100d3fcdb0bafdc822431179c28aa8ee97f88cea474a1bdf256647f566fd0faf" | |
| 242 | + }, | |
| 243 | + "configs": { | |
| 244 | + "configs/budgets.yaml": "412bb281571e7138b248d5f6de36577b44c64a1604f48ba62b04d1e5296e2ac4", | |
| 245 | + "configs/capture.yaml": "64ed330a21d714ee71fab2c88c28a7459a792f362a03c337709a8b6e2c4a8513", | |
| 246 | + "configs/confirmatory.yaml": "0851d028436d127f50e81a7b3690a4c7ca8b3def678965e0e089c386f6fa88aa", | |
| 247 | + "configs/development.yaml": "4087799aa303a197b7703e5b1f8a99f4da5aaaaf481942a375561bef1e7f80ca", | |
| 248 | + "configs/pilot.yaml": "43b8510075ae798cee745b792f47d499256b51e3583639689d49004625299904", | |
| 249 | + "configs/transfer.yaml": "da394c10c0114be49d30877d8e91fb533c223a9ef4a51aa12dd10232eb653ac9" | |
| 250 | + }, | |
| 251 | + "analysis": { | |
| 252 | + "analysis/build_analysis_dataset.py": "b790f14e0538ea1d2ae36db4f1486d0eadb6f6a7fee029a7230d787cc60c33d7", | |
| 253 | + "analysis/common.py": "a93ebd683f7b437df540d52f593f2208552c589beb9de9103f06771072b0bbb7", | |
| 254 | + "analysis/figures.py": "d234a24f388fda23416f709d6d49fcaa5ff4833409b8ff324d79a7065a10acde", | |
| 255 | + "analysis/paper_numbers.py": "3b8d70cecdc21e083df61c813961343e6faadc90afe8ce9ceab0b33dfdd0c773", | |
| 256 | + "analysis/pilot_report.py": "8ed65668194960835dd30e9bf2503df311b0281de6e04990070c3e1042c39ffb", | |
| 257 | + "analysis/primary_analysis.py": "bca632aa9bf167940d22cbe417050dbd3002a8ab2607edb49c50589a084834e0", | |
| 258 | + "analysis/robustness.py": "8f432bd85dbadfcf478aac5d178af0b5ca4734e3f8d9147ad4893a778ed3d7c1", | |
| 259 | + "analysis/tables.py": "3a949e8a8c6ba8f1983574c30d11b3182e45872aa1ec77ab85ccf215c0156766", | |
| 260 | + "analysis/task_tables.py": "c11d2955ea2a94038f85f5cf1b1625ee36849936676077881f87c6c390beaefd" | |
| 261 | + }, | |
| 262 | + "code_commit": "90bf126799e046545d1bf5210fce451071dce757" | |
| 263 | +} | |
| \ No newline at end of file | ||
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