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+# Brief — Part IX "Empirical Results" (file manuscript/sections/part09_results.tex; bib manuscript/references_part09.bib) |
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+ |
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+Target 40–60 pages: ALL verified quantitative findings, with figures and tables, organised by research question RQ1–RQ10 and |
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+hypothesis H1–H8 (protocol/PROTOCOL.md P1). Follow WRITER_COMMON.md. Sources (corpus v2, classification v1.0): |
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+- Corpus & taxonomy: data/metadata/prisma_counts.json, linkage_report.json, linkage_sample_summary.json (H-1 auto precision), |
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+ data/processed/classification/classification_report.json (copy in reports/), taxonomy/validation/metrics.json (+ disagreements.csv counts). |
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+- Volume/composition (RQ1): results/bibliometrics/volume_yearly.csv, volume_monthly.csv, results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv, |
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+ category_counts_monthly.csv, results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv, diversity_yearly.csv, category_share_ci_yearly.csv. |
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+- Structural change (RQ2, H1, H3): results/econometrics/its_results.json (series total and cat_<id>), breaks.csv, placebo_*.csv, |
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+ reports/PHASE4_STRUCTURAL_CHANGE_TOTAL.md (preliminary reading). |
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+- Influence (RQ3): results/bibliometrics/citation_windows_yearly.csv, top_cited_by_year.csv, literature_synthesis/landmarks/selection_report.json. |
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+- Networks (RQ4–RQ6, H4–H6): results/graph/{field_flows_yearly, category_flows_yearly, area_flows_yearly, cross_area_share_yearly, |
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+ modularity_yearly, category_cooccurrence_yearly, cited_age_yearly, reference_coverage_yearly}.csv; results/bibliometrics/{team_size, |
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+ international_collab, industry_share, countries, venue_hhi}_yearly.csv (Part VIII covers the actor networks in depth: summarise and cross-reference). |
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+- Semantic (RQ5, H4 semantic level): results/semantic/{category_drift.csv, category_similarity_baseline.csv, category_similarity_post.csv, |
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+ clusters.csv, stability.json} if present (else \pending{semantic atlas}). |
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+- Openness/reproducibility (RQ9, H7): volume_yearly.csv columns n_arxiv, n_oa, n_preprint, n_abstract; top_sources_by_period.csv. |
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+- Emerging detection (RQ10, H8): results/emerging/metrics_h12.json, metrics_h24.json, predictions.csv, known_set_lead_times.csv. |
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+- Figures in manuscript/figures/ (see figures/FIGURES.json for captions/sources) and tables in manuscript/tables/ (TABLES.json): |
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+ include every relevant one with \includegraphics / \input and a \label; you may add tables to tables/make_tables.py (append only) and re-run it. |
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+Rules: every number through macros (`python3 tables/make_numbers.py .` first; macro names derive from JSON keys and CSV |
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+columns — e.g. \PrismaCsCoreEligible, \ItsSeriesTotalItsChatgptSlopeChange is NOT generated; for ITS numbers use the generated |
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+`\ItsSeries...` macros if present, else add the table and cite it) or generated tables. State each hypothesis, what the test |
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+shows, and the verdict (supported / not supported / inconclusive) with uncertainty; null and opposite results are reported as |
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+such; no causal language; right-truncation and date-precision caveats on every time-series statement. Flag with \pending{H-4} |
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+the interpretive statements that await PI review. |