WP44: Part VIII category-level knowledge flows, actors and inequality (8 tables)
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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manuscript/appendices/appF_supplementary_tables.tex
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@@ -25,20 +25,6 @@ This appendix collects the generated tables not shown in the main text. Every ta | |||||
| 25 | \clearpage | 25 | \clearpage | ||
| 26 | \input{tables/tab_known_set} | 26 | \input{tables/tab_known_set} | ||
| 27 | \clearpage | 27 | \clearpage | ||
| 28 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_growth} | ||||
| 29 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 30 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_counts} | ||||
| 31 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 32 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_breaks} | ||||
| 33 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 34 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_altdates} | ||||
| 35 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 36 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_flows} | ||||
| 37 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 38 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_landmark_flags} | ||||
| 39 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 40 | −\input{tables/tab_ai_contribution_types} | ||||
| 41 | −\clearpage | ||||
| 42 | \input{tables/tab_ai_landmarks} | 28 | \input{tables/tab_ai_landmarks} | ||
| 43 | \clearpage | 29 | \clearpage | ||
| 44 | \input{tables/tab_security_counts} | 30 | \input{tables/tab_security_counts} | ||
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manuscript/sections/part05_ai.tex
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| 1 | −% part05_ai — to be written (Phase 7) | 1 | +% ============================================================================ | ||
| 2 | +% Part V — The Artificial Intelligence Transformation | ||||
| 3 | +% Written by Agent E (AI Research Specialist), 2026-11-03, from | ||||
| 4 | +% literature_synthesis/agent_E/{review.md, claims.csv, contributions.csv, | ||||
| 5 | +% open_problems.csv}. Evidence rules: landmark papers are known from metadata | ||||
| 6 | +% and abstracts only (never full text); preprints are named as preprints; corpus | ||||
| 7 | +% numbers enter only through the macros of tables/numbers.tex or the generated | ||||
| 8 | +% tables tab_ai_*.tex (tables/make_tables.py, tables_part05). Claim identifiers | ||||
| 9 | +% [E-nn] in comments refer to claims.csv. No causal claim about ChatGPT. | ||||
| 10 | +% ============================================================================ | ||||
| 11 | + | ||||
| 12 | +\section{Scope, evidence base and reading rules} | ||||
| 13 | +\label{sec:ai-scope} | ||||
| 14 | + | ||||
| 15 | +This part synthesises the nine categories of the taxonomy that the ontology | ||||
| 16 | +groups under \emph{AI and machine learning}: large language models, foundation | ||||
| 17 | +models, multimodal AI, generative AI, AI agents and autonomous systems, | ||||
| 18 | +reinforcement learning, machine-learning theory, deep-learning architectures, | ||||
| 19 | +and AI safety and alignment. Three kinds of evidence are combined, and the | ||||
| 20 | +reader should keep them apart. The first is the corpus itself: the yearly and | ||||
| 21 | +monthly counts, growth rates, structural-change estimates and citation flows of | ||||
| 22 | +Part~IV, read here only through the generated tables of this part | ||||
| 23 | +(Tables~\ref{tab:ai_growth}--\ref{tab:ai_landmarks}) and the macros of | ||||
| 24 | +\texttt{tables/numbers.tex}. The second is the automatically selected landmark | ||||
| 25 | +set of the area, \SelectionByAreaAiMl{} records chosen by field-normalised | ||||
| 26 | +citation impact within each primary category (Part~IV, | ||||
| 27 | +Section~\ref{sec:m-score}), of which the agent read the title, venue, type, | ||||
| 28 | +identifiers, citation windows and, where OpenAlex stores one, the abstract. | ||||
| 29 | +The third is the verified reference list assembled in Phase~5 | ||||
| 30 | +(\texttt{references.bib} and \texttt{references\_part05.bib}), which carries | ||||
| 31 | +the technical lineage of the field whether or not the corpus ranking surfaced | ||||
| 32 | +it. Nothing in this part describes the content of a paper beyond what its | ||||
| 33 | +abstract or bibliographic record states; a result known only from an abstract | ||||
| 34 | +is introduced as what ``the abstract reports''. Works that exist only as | ||||
| 35 | +arXiv, SSRN or medRxiv deposits are called preprints throughout, and a | ||||
| 36 | +preprint's claim is never upgraded to a peer-reviewed finding by the number of | ||||
| 37 | +times it has been cited. The boundary of 30~November 2022 is a reference date | ||||
| 38 | +for the time-series models; the estimates below describe when the series | ||||
| 39 | +changed, not why. | ||||
| 40 | + | ||||
| 41 | +\subsection{What the landmark set is, and what it is not} | ||||
| 42 | +\label{sec:ai-landmarks} | ||||
| 43 | + | ||||
| 44 | +The landmark candidates of the area were screened record by record before any | ||||
| 45 | +of them was used, and the outcome conditions everything that follows. Of the | ||||
| 46 | +\SelectionByAreaAiMl{} records, the screening flagged 44 as unreliable for the | ||||
| 47 | +purpose of a critical synthesis (Table~\ref{tab:ai_landmark_flags}; | ||||
| 48 | +\texttt{literature\_synthesis/agent\_E/contributions.csv}).\footnote{The | ||||
| 49 | +flags are a human judgement by the specialist agent from identifiers, citation | ||||
| 50 | +counts, venue, title and abstract; they were not produced by a script and | ||||
| 51 | +must be audited (Part~III, Phase~8). The counts in this paragraph are those of | ||||
| 52 | +the flag file, reproduced in Table~\ref{tab:ai_landmark_flags}.} Thirteen are | ||||
| 53 | +\emph{identifier mismatches}: the title and abstract belong to an obscure work | ||||
| 54 | +while the arXiv identifier and the 36-month citation count belong to a famous | ||||
| 55 | +one. A 2026 article on translating natural language into MongoDB queries | ||||
| 56 | +carries the arXiv identifier of the retrieval-augmented-generation paper | ||||
| 57 | +\citep{lewis2020rag} and its citations; a Portuguese-language essay on | ||||
| 58 | +copyright carries that of GPT-3 \citep{brown2020gpt3}; an essay on | ||||
| 59 | +``theatrical compliance'' carries that of chain-of-thought prompting | ||||
| 60 | +\citep{wei2022cot}; a preprint on an intensive-care simulation carries that of | ||||
| 61 | +Llama~2 \citep{touvron2023llama2}; a ``reproducible experiment runner'' for the | ||||
| 62 | +Adam optimiser carries more than forty thousand citations. Three records are | ||||
| 63 | +\emph{abstract mismatches}, in which a correct title (the GPT-4 technical | ||||
| 64 | +report, \citealp{openai2023gpt4}; ``GPTs are GPTs'', | ||||
| 65 | +\citealp{eloundou2024gpts}) is paired with the abstract of another work. | ||||
| 66 | +Eleven are \emph{implausible years}: mixup, the variational recurrent network | ||||
| 67 | +and several 2013--2019 bandit papers appear as 2024--2026 works, four of them | ||||
| 68 | +with April--June 2026 arXiv identifiers, so that their field-normalised scores | ||||
| 69 | +are computed against the wrong cohort. Seven are \emph{normalisation | ||||
| 70 | +artefacts}, dissertations and unindexed articles with two to twenty citations | ||||
| 71 | +and NCS36 above five hundred, because the reference mean for a rare document | ||||
| 72 | +type in a young cohort is close to zero. Ten are \emph{off scope}: | ||||
| 73 | +control-theoretic consensus papers assigned to AI agents, an essay on | ||||
| 74 | +educational-technology ``solutionism'' assigned to reinforcement learning. | ||||
| 75 | +% [E-02, E-03] | ||||
| 76 | + | ||||
| 77 | +The defect is not uniformly distributed. Identifier and abstract problems | ||||
| 78 | +concentrate in the large-language-model category, where eight of | ||||
| 79 | +thirty-three records are affected, and misdated classics concentrate in | ||||
| 80 | +machine-learning theory and deep-learning architectures. The mechanism lies | ||||
| 81 | +upstream of this review, in the merging of work records by the source | ||||
| 82 | +database and in the second-pass arXiv and title linkage of Phase~1 | ||||
| 83 | +(Section~\ref{sec:m-linkage}); it is reported here because the AI area is where | ||||
| 84 | +it bites hardest, the arXiv identifiers of the most-cited papers of the decade | ||||
| 85 | +being exactly the ones most likely to be attached to the wrong record. Two | ||||
| 86 | +consequences are drawn. First, the clean count of citation-ranked AI landmarks | ||||
| 87 | +is at most 190, and every ``most influential papers'' statement of Part~IX | ||||
| 88 | +that concerns AI must be computed on records whose DOI, arXiv identifier and | ||||
| 89 | +title are mutually consistent. Second, the field-normalised score should be | ||||
| 90 | +recomputed with document-type-specific reference sets and with the 2026 | ||||
| 91 | +cohort excluded; this is a recommendation to the director, not something done | ||||
| 92 | +here. % [E-04] | ||||
| 93 | + | ||||
| 94 | +What the set does contain is instructive in its own right | ||||
| 95 | +(Table~\ref{tab:ai_contribution_types}). Judged from the abstract for 190 | ||||
| 96 | +records and from title, venue and type for the 44 without one, 84 of the 234 | ||||
| 97 | +candidates are surveys, 67 methods, 33 empirical studies, 29 theory or position | ||||
| 98 | +papers, 17 engineering systems and only 4 benchmarks. % [E-05] | ||||
| 99 | +Within the LLM and generative-AI categories the citation-ranked top is | ||||
| 100 | +occupied by education and commentary papers written in the months after | ||||
| 101 | +November 2022 \citep{kasneci2023chatgptgood, lo2023rapidreview, | ||||
| 102 | +rudolph2023assessment, chan2023students, baidooanu2023chatgptedu, | ||||
| 103 | +dwivedi2023sowhat, vandis2023priorities, lim2023ragnarok}, not by the papers | ||||
| 104 | +that introduced the models. % [E-06] | ||||
| 105 | +This is a property of ranking by field-normalised impact inside a multi-label | ||||
| 106 | +category that spans computer science, education and information systems: a | ||||
| 107 | +commentary in an education journal is normalised against education | ||||
| 108 | +journals, and the first wave of ChatGPT commentary was cited at rates that | ||||
| 109 | +no technical paper of its cohort matched within thirty-six months. The | ||||
| 110 | +technical lineage---GPT-4, LLaMA, InstructGPT, chain-of-thought, DPO, QLoRA, | ||||
| 111 | +BLIP-2, Mamba---is present in the set only where an arXiv record was linked, | ||||
| 112 | +and sometimes, as just shown, linked to the wrong record. The synthesis | ||||
| 113 | +therefore grounds its technical claims on the verified reference list and uses | ||||
| 114 | +the landmark set to characterise what the corpus \emph{rewards} rather than | ||||
| 115 | +what the field \emph{invented}. Table~\ref{tab:ai_landmarks} lists all | ||||
| 116 | +234 candidates with their flag and contribution type. | ||||
| 117 | + | ||||
| 118 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_landmark_flags} | ||||
| 119 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_contribution_types} | ||||
| 120 | + | ||||
| 121 | +\subsection{The corpus picture of the nine categories} | ||||
| 122 | +\label{sec:ai-corpus} | ||||
| 123 | + | ||||
| 124 | +Table~\ref{tab:ai_growth} gives the primary-category volume, the compound | ||||
| 125 | +annual growth rates of the baseline (2018--2022) and post (2023--2025) periods | ||||
| 126 | +and the share of eligible works for each category; Table~\ref{tab:ai_counts} | ||||
| 127 | +gives the yearly multi-label counts, which are several times larger because | ||||
| 128 | +the AI categories overlap heavily and a work counts in every category it is | ||||
| 129 | +assigned to. The ordering is the same under either definition. Large language | ||||
| 130 | +models grow fastest in the post period, generative AI, multimodal AI, | ||||
| 131 | +foundation models and AI safety follow, reinforcement learning and | ||||
| 132 | +machine-learning theory accelerate modestly, deep-learning architectures grow | ||||
| 133 | +slightly more slowly than in the baseline, and AI agents reverse a negative | ||||
| 134 | +baseline growth rate. % [E-07] | ||||
| 135 | +The share of eligible works carrying the LLM label as primary category rises by | ||||
| 136 | +more than an order of magnitude between 2018 and 2025. % [E-08] | ||||
| 137 | +Two cautions apply. The 2026 column of Table~\ref{tab:ai_counts} covers | ||||
| 138 | +publications dated up to the snapshot of 14~October 2026 and is incomplete; | ||||
| 139 | +and the categories are defined by rules over topics, arXiv classes, venues and | ||||
| 140 | +keyword patterns (Section~\ref{sec:m-classification}), so that a work on | ||||
| 141 | +reward modelling for language models is an LLM work and not a reinforcement-learning | ||||
| 142 | +work, a point that matters for Section~\ref{sec:ai-rl}. | ||||
| 143 | + | ||||
| 144 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_growth} | ||||
| 145 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_counts} | ||||
| 146 | + | ||||
| 147 | +The structural-change estimates are in Table~\ref{tab:ai_breaks} and, for the | ||||
| 148 | +alternative event dates, Table~\ref{tab:ai_altdates}. For the LLM series the | ||||
| 149 | +interrupted time series of eq.~\eqref{eq:its} fitted at | ||||
| 150 | +\ItsEventsChatgpt{} gives a level change of | ||||
| 151 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptLevelChange{} log points | ||||
| 152 | +(HAC $p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptLevelP$) and a slope change of | ||||
| 153 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptSlopeChange{} log points per month | ||||
| 154 | +($p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptSlopeP$) over a pre-period slope of | ||||
| 155 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptPreSlope{}; the placebo distribution of | ||||
| 156 | +Section~\ref{sec:m-placebo} places the level statistic at a placebo | ||||
| 157 | +$p$-value of \ItsSeriesCatLlmPlaceboChatgptLevelTPlaceboP{} and the slope | ||||
| 158 | +statistic at \ItsSeriesCatLlmPlaceboChatgptSlopeTPlaceboP{}; the | ||||
| 159 | +Bai--Perron procedure selects \ItsSeriesCatLlmBaiPerronMBic{} break, dated | ||||
| 160 | +in Table~\ref{tab:ai_breaks} to the middle of 2022, and the Bayesian | ||||
| 161 | +on-line change-point posterior mass between December 2022 and March 2023 is | ||||
| 162 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmBocpdCpProbTwoZeroTwoTwoOneTwoToTwoZeroTwoThreeZeroThree{}. | ||||
| 163 | +Excluding three months on either side of the event (the donut specification) | ||||
| 164 | +changes the level estimate to | ||||
| 165 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptDonutLevelChange{} | ||||
| 166 | +($p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsChatgptDonutLevelP$). % [E-09] | ||||
| 167 | +The same configuration---no significant level jump at the reference month, a | ||||
| 168 | +large and significant slope change, a placebo $p$-value for the level that | ||||
| 169 | +does not single out December 2022, a data-driven break before or well after | ||||
| 170 | +it---holds for multimodal AI (slope change | ||||
| 171 | +\ItsSeriesCatMultimodalAiItsChatgptSlopeChange) and generative AI | ||||
| 172 | +(\ItsSeriesCatGenerativeAiItsChatgptSlopeChange). AI agents (level | ||||
| 173 | +\ItsSeriesCatAiAgentsItsChatgptLevelChange, $p = | ||||
| 174 | +\ItsSeriesCatAiAgentsItsChatgptLevelP$; slope | ||||
| 175 | +\ItsSeriesCatAiAgentsItsChatgptSlopeChange), reinforcement learning (level | ||||
| 176 | +\ItsSeriesCatReinforcementLearningItsChatgptLevelChange, $p = | ||||
| 177 | +\ItsSeriesCatReinforcementLearningItsChatgptLevelP$) and AI safety (level | ||||
| 178 | +\ItsSeriesCatAiSafetyItsChatgptLevelChange, $p = | ||||
| 179 | +\ItsSeriesCatAiSafetyItsChatgptLevelP$) show \emph{negative} level changes | ||||
| 180 | +followed by positive slope changes, a dip and a subsequent acceleration whose | ||||
| 181 | +reading is taken up category by category below. Deep-learning architectures is | ||||
| 182 | +the only AI category whose slope change | ||||
| 183 | +(\ItsSeriesCatDeepLearningArchitecturesItsChatgptSlopeChange, $p = | ||||
| 184 | +\ItsSeriesCatDeepLearningArchitecturesItsChatgptSlopeP$) is not | ||||
| 185 | +distinguishable from zero. % [E-10] | ||||
| 186 | + | ||||
| 187 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_breaks} | ||||
| 188 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_altdates} | ||||
| 189 | + | ||||
| 190 | +The alternative dates of Section~\ref{sec:m-altdates} order themselves | ||||
| 191 | +monotonically. Level effects estimated at the GPT-3 (\ItsEventsGptThree) and | ||||
| 192 | +DALL-E~2 (\ItsEventsDalleTwo) dates are negative for every AI category, | ||||
| 193 | +whereas those at the GPT-4 (\ItsEventsGptFour) and o1 (\ItsEventsOOne) dates | ||||
| 194 | +are positive and significant for LLM, multimodal and generative AI: for the | ||||
| 195 | +LLM series, \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsGptThreeLevelChange{} at the GPT-3 date | ||||
| 196 | +($p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsGptThreeLevelP$), \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsGptFourLevelChange{} | ||||
| 197 | +at the GPT-4 date ($p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsGptFourLevelP$) and | ||||
| 198 | +\ItsSeriesCatLlmItsOOneLevelChange{} at the o1 date | ||||
| 199 | +($p = \ItsSeriesCatLlmItsOOneLevelP$). % [E-11] | ||||
| 200 | +Each of these is a separate fit with the event moved, and a positive level | ||||
| 201 | +effect at a later date in a convex series is what a steepening trend produces | ||||
| 202 | +whether or not anything happened at that date. The reading that the evidence | ||||
| 203 | +supports is therefore restricted: the acceleration of the AI literature is a | ||||
| 204 | +change of trend that the data-driven procedures place in the middle of 2022 | ||||
| 205 | +and that steepened through 2023--2024; the monthly series cannot attribute it | ||||
| 206 | +to one product release, and this part does not. % [E-12] | ||||
| 207 | + | ||||
| 208 | +\subsection{Knowledge flows and detected emergence} | ||||
| 209 | +\label{sec:ai-flows} | ||||
| 210 | + | ||||
| 211 | +Table~\ref{tab:ai_flows} reports, for each AI category and for 2019, 2022 and | ||||
| 212 | +2025, the destination of its in-corpus references, i.e.\ the row shares | ||||
| 213 | +$s_{c \to c'}(t)$ of eq.~\eqref{eq:flow}. The large-language-model category is | ||||
| 214 | +the one whose profile changed most. In 2019 and 2022 roughly seven in ten of | ||||
| 215 | +its in-corpus references went to natural language processing; in 2025 about a | ||||
| 216 | +third do, while more than a quarter go to the LLM category itself and | ||||
| 217 | +measurable shares go to human--computer interaction and software engineering. | ||||
| 218 | +% [E-13] | ||||
| 219 | +Generative AI moved from a vision-centred profile to one split between vision, | ||||
| 220 | +LLM and HCI; AI safety, which cited LLM work at a negligible rate in 2019, | ||||
| 221 | +directs a tenth of its references there in 2025 and slightly more to HCI. | ||||
| 222 | +% [E-14] | ||||
| 223 | +Reinforcement learning moves the other way, citing robotics more and LLM work | ||||
| 224 | +almost not at all, and machine-learning theory and deep-learning architectures | ||||
| 225 | +are essentially unchanged. % [E-15] | ||||
| 226 | +At the level of categories, then, the LLM literature has become a citation hub | ||||
| 227 | +for generative AI, safety and agents while remaining peripheral to | ||||
| 228 | +reinforcement learning, theory and architectures. This is the corpus-level | ||||
| 229 | +answer to RQ5 that this part can give; it is consistent with the convergence | ||||
| 230 | +thesis of \citet{bommasani2021foundation}, but a change in which category a | ||||
| 231 | +field cites is not evidence that its methods converged, and | ||||
| 232 | +Section~\ref{sec:ai-synthesis} returns to the distinction. % [E-16] | ||||
| 233 | + | ||||
| 234 | +\input{tables/tab_ai_flows} | ||||
| 235 | + | ||||
| 236 | +The preregistered known-emergence set of Section~\ref{sec:m-emerging} contains | ||||
| 237 | +eleven AI concepts, and their lead times are the first empirical test of | ||||
| 238 | +RQ10 in this area. The detector flags \emph{large language models} in | ||||
| 239 | +\KnownLargeLanguageModelsDetectionMonth{}, | ||||
| 240 | +\KnownLargeLanguageModelsLeadMonths{} months before the peak-growth month | ||||
| 241 | +\KnownLargeLanguageModelsPeakGrowthMonth{}, on | ||||
| 242 | +\KnownLargeLanguageModelsTotalWorks{} matching works; \emph{reasoning models} | ||||
| 243 | +\KnownReasoningModelsLeadMonths{} months ahead; retrieval-augmented generation | ||||
| 244 | +\KnownRetrievalAugmentedGenerationLeadMonths{} months; vision-language models | ||||
| 245 | +\KnownVisionLanguageModelsLeadMonths{}; diffusion models | ||||
| 246 | +\KnownDiffusionModelsLeadMonths{}; LLM agents \KnownLlmAgentsLeadMonths{}; | ||||
| 247 | +state-space sequence models \KnownStateSpaceSequenceModelsLeadMonths{}; | ||||
| 248 | +mixture of experts \KnownMixtureOfExpertsLeadMonths{}; speculative decoding | ||||
| 249 | +\KnownSpeculativeDecodingLeadMonths{}; AI code generation | ||||
| 250 | +\KnownAiCodeGenerationLeadMonths{}; and mechanistic interpretability | ||||
| 251 | +\KnownMechanisticInterpretabilityLeadMonths{}, a negative lead in which the | ||||
| 252 | +peak-growth month precedes detection on only | ||||
| 253 | +\KnownMechanisticInterpretabilityTotalWorks{} matching works. The median lead | ||||
| 254 | +over the whole set is \KnownSetMedianLeadMonths{} months. % [E-17] | ||||
| 255 | +The long lead for language models is not foresight: the regular expression | ||||
| 256 | +matches the pre-2020 literature on ``language models'' and the detector fires | ||||
| 257 | +on its slow growth years before the 2023 surge. The short leads for | ||||
| 258 | +state-space models, mixture of experts and speculative decoding are the | ||||
| 259 | +honest result, and they say that topics driven by a single widely adopted | ||||
| 260 | +preprint are detected only months before their growth peaks. | ||||
| 261 | + | ||||
| 262 | +\section{Large language models and foundation models} | ||||
| 263 | +\label{sec:ai-fm} | ||||
| 264 | + | ||||
| 265 | +\subsection{The established lineage} | ||||
| 266 | + | ||||
| 267 | +The architecture that dominates the window is the decoder-only Transformer | ||||
| 268 | +\citep{vaswani2017attention} trained autoregressively at scale | ||||
| 269 | +\citep{radford2019gpt2, brown2020gpt3, chowdhery2022palm}, with the encoder | ||||
| 270 | +and encoder--decoder variants of the baseline period \citep{devlin2019bert, | ||||
| 271 | +raffel2020t5} surviving mainly as embedding models. Two empirical regularities | ||||
| 272 | +from before the window organise the technical literature inside it. The first | ||||
| 273 | +is the scaling law, in its original form a power law of loss in parameters $N$ | ||||
| 274 | +and tokens $D$ \citep{kaplan2020scaling} and in the compute-optimal form of | ||||
| 275 | +\citet{hoffmann2022chinchilla}, which, for a fixed training budget $C \approx | ||||
| 276 | +6ND$, allocates roughly equal factors of growth to $N$ and $D$ and therefore | ||||
| 277 | +implies far more tokens per parameter than the earlier prescription. The | ||||
| 278 | +second is the sparse mixture-of-experts layer \citep{shazeer2017moe, | ||||
| 279 | +fedus2022switch}, which decouples parameter count from per-token compute. The | ||||
| 280 | +open-weight lineage LLaMA, Llama~2 and Llama~3 \citep{touvron2023llama, | ||||
| 281 | +touvron2023llama2, dubey2024llama3}---all three preprints, the first of which | ||||
| 282 | +is in the landmark set---follows the Chinchilla allocation; the LLaMA abstract | ||||
| 283 | +reports that a 13-billion-parameter model trained only on publicly available | ||||
| 284 | +data outperforms GPT-3 on most benchmarks, a claim that the abstract makes and | ||||
| 285 | +that this review has not verified. % [E-18] | ||||
| 286 | +The closed frontier releases are documented by technical reports without | ||||
| 287 | +training details \citep{openai2023gpt4, gemini2023, openai2024o1}; they are | ||||
| 288 | +cited here as the dated artefacts they are, and the GPT-4 record in the | ||||
| 289 | +landmark set, as noted above, carries someone else's abstract. The LLM surveys | ||||
| 290 | +of the window \citep{zhao2023llmsurvey, naveed2023llmoverview, | ||||
| 291 | +minaee2024llmsurvey, min2023plmsurvey} map a sub-literature that by 2025 had | ||||
| 292 | +its own citation core (Table~\ref{tab:ai_flows}); the journal version of the | ||||
| 293 | +first of them is in the landmark set and its abstract organises the field | ||||
| 294 | +into pre-training, adaptation, utilisation and evaluation. | ||||
| 295 | + | ||||
| 296 | +The most visible post-2022 development in the landmark set is not a new | ||||
| 297 | +general model but the diffusion of the foundation-model recipe into domains | ||||
| 298 | +with their own data. Self-supervised pathology encoders trained on hundreds of | ||||
| 299 | +thousands of whole-slide images \citep{chen2024uni, lu2024conch, | ||||
| 300 | +wang2024chief, huang2023plip, ding2025titan}, a radiology model trained on | ||||
| 301 | +two- and three-dimensional scans \citep{wu2025radfm}, a dermatology model on | ||||
| 302 | +two million clinical images \citep{yan2025panderm}, a brain-MRI model | ||||
| 303 | +\citep{tak2026brainiac}, an Earth-system model trained on more than a million | ||||
| 304 | +hours of geophysical data \citep{bodnar2025aurora}, a tabular model that the | ||||
| 305 | +abstract describes as a prior-data fitted network outperforming | ||||
| 306 | +gradient-boosted trees on small datasets \citep{hollmann2025tabpfn}, | ||||
| 307 | +time-series representation models \citep{jin2023timellm, liu2024timesurl} and | ||||
| 308 | +a language model fine-tuned on ten million human choices to predict behaviour | ||||
| 309 | +across psychological experiments \citep{binz2025centaur} are, with the | ||||
| 310 | +exception of the time-series preprint, peer-reviewed journal or conference | ||||
| 311 | +papers, and each abstract reports outperforming task-specific baselines on a | ||||
| 312 | +battery of benchmarks. % [E-19] | ||||
| 313 | +What the abstracts do not report, and what the reviews in the same set list as | ||||
| 314 | +unresolved \citep{paschali2025fmradiology, zhang2026datacentric}, is external, | ||||
| 315 | +multi-site validation under distribution shift; the claim that domain | ||||
| 316 | +foundation models will displace task-specific pipelines in regulated settings | ||||
| 317 | +is speculative and is carried to Part~X as such. % [E-24] | ||||
| 318 | + | ||||
| 319 | +Below the frontier, the practical growth of the open-weight ecosystem | ||||
| 320 | +concentrated on adaptation. Low-rank adaptation \citep{hu2021lora}, its | ||||
| 321 | +four-bit variant QLoRA, whose abstract reports fine-tuning a 65-billion-parameter | ||||
| 322 | +model on a single 48\,GB GPU \citep{dettmers2023qlora}, the zero-initialised | ||||
| 323 | +adaption prompts of LLaMA-Adapter \citep{zhang2023llamaadapter} and the | ||||
| 324 | +parameter-efficient fine-tuning surveys \citep{han2024peftsurvey} define a | ||||
| 325 | +regime in which a research group without frontier compute can specialise a | ||||
| 326 | +model in hours. The QLoRA abstract's statement that its best model reaches | ||||
| 327 | +``99.3\,\% of the performance level of ChatGPT'' on the Vicuna benchmark is a | ||||
| 328 | +judge-based measurement, a point to which Section~\ref{sec:ai-eval} returns. | ||||
| 329 | +% [E-20] | ||||
| 330 | + | ||||
| 331 | +\subsection{Contested claims: emergence, sparks and pure-RL reasoning} | ||||
| 332 | + | ||||
| 333 | +Three claims about what scaled language models are have been argued largely in | ||||
| 334 | +preprints, and the corpus can record the argument but not settle it. The first | ||||
| 335 | +is emergence. \citet{wei2022emergent} report abilities that appear | ||||
| 336 | +discontinuously as scale increases; \citet{schaeffer2023mirage} show that for | ||||
| 337 | +the tasks examined the discontinuities are produced by discontinuous | ||||
| 338 | +metrics---exact-match accuracy on multi-token answers---and largely vanish | ||||
| 339 | +under continuous or token-level ones. Both are preprints, the disagreement is | ||||
| 340 | +about measurement rather than data, and the manuscript presents it as such. | ||||
| 341 | +% [E-21] | ||||
| 342 | +The second is ``Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence'' | ||||
| 343 | +\citep{bubeck2023sparks}, which reports qualitative experiments on an early, | ||||
| 344 | +unreleased version of GPT-4 and, in the abstract's words, contends that the | ||||
| 345 | +model exhibits more general intelligence than previous systems. The record is | ||||
| 346 | +among the most cited of the landmark set, it is a preprint, its experiments | ||||
| 347 | +are not reproducible because the model version is unavailable, and the | ||||
| 348 | +critique that scale does not confer understanding \citep{bender2021parrots} | ||||
| 349 | +is in the same set with a comparable citation count. % [E-22] | ||||
| 350 | +The third is the reasoning turn: the o1 system card \citep{openai2024o1} | ||||
| 351 | +moved computation to inference time, and the DeepSeek-R1 paper, whose | ||||
| 352 | +peer-reviewed version is in the landmark set \citep{deepseek2025r1nature} | ||||
| 353 | +alongside the preprint \citep{deepseek2025r1}, reports that reasoning ``can be | ||||
| 354 | +incentivized through pure reinforcement learning, obviating the need for | ||||
| 355 | +human-labelled reasoning trajectories''. The claim is peer reviewed; its | ||||
| 356 | +generality beyond domains with verifiable rewards---mathematics, code---is not | ||||
| 357 | +tested by anything in the corpus, and it is the first entry of the open | ||||
| 358 | +problems in Section~\ref{sec:ai-synthesis}. % [E-23] | ||||
| 359 | + | ||||
| 360 | +\section{Alignment and post-training} | ||||
| 361 | +\label{sec:ai-align} | ||||
| 362 | + | ||||
| 363 | +The recipe that turned a pretrained language model into an assistant was in | ||||
| 364 | +place before the window: a reward model fitted to human preference | ||||
| 365 | +comparisons \citep{christiano2017rlhf} and a policy optimised against it with | ||||
| 366 | +a proximal objective \citep{schulman2017ppo}, applied to instruction following | ||||
| 367 | +in InstructGPT \citep{ouyang2022instructgpt} and extended with helpfulness and | ||||
| 368 | +harmlessness data \citep{bai2022hh} and with model-written critiques against a | ||||
| 369 | +written constitution \citep{bai2022constitutional}. Inside the window the | ||||
| 370 | +method's two moving parts were simplified and questioned. Direct preference | ||||
| 371 | +optimisation \citep{rafailov2023dpo} rewrites the RLHF objective so that the | ||||
| 372 | +policy is fitted directly to preference pairs through a closed-form | ||||
| 373 | +log-ratio loss, removing the separate reward model and the on-policy sampling; | ||||
| 374 | +the NeurIPS record is in the landmark set, without an abstract in the file. | ||||
| 375 | +The open problems of the reward-model route---reward hacking, preference | ||||
| 376 | +mis-specification, evaluator disagreement, the gap between stated and revealed | ||||
| 377 | +preferences---are catalogued by \citet{casper2023rlhfproblems}, a preprint | ||||
| 378 | +whose taxonomy is nevertheless the standard reference. % [E-25] | ||||
| 379 | +The corpus adds a sociological observation to this methodological one. | ||||
| 380 | +Reinforcement learning as a category directs less than one per cent of its | ||||
| 381 | +in-corpus references to LLM work in 2025 (Table~\ref{tab:ai_flows}), while the | ||||
| 382 | +LLM category's own self-citation share grew to more than a quarter. The | ||||
| 383 | +``return of reinforcement learning'' through post-training is therefore a | ||||
| 384 | +phenomenon of the LLM literature, which absorbed PPO, DPO and the group-relative | ||||
| 385 | +policy optimisation of DeepSeek-R1 as its own methods; the classification | ||||
| 386 | +separates the two communities even where the mathematics is shared, and | ||||
| 387 | +Section~\ref{sec:ai-rl} draws the consequence for any claim about the fate of | ||||
| 388 | +reinforcement learning. | ||||
| 389 | + | ||||
| 390 | +That aligned behaviour is brittle under optimisation pressure is established | ||||
| 391 | +by three lines of work. Universal adversarial suffixes found by gradient-guided | ||||
| 392 | +search transfer across models \citep{zou2023universal}; the ``jailbroken'' | ||||
| 393 | +analysis attributes failures to competing objectives and mismatched | ||||
| 394 | +generalisation between pretraining and safety training | ||||
| 395 | +\citep{wei2023jailbroken}; and PAIR, a peer-reviewed method in the landmark | ||||
| 396 | +set, is described in its abstract as an attacker language model that generates | ||||
| 397 | +semantic jailbreaks against a target with black-box access, in about twenty | ||||
| 398 | +queries \citep{chao2025pair}. % [E-26] | ||||
| 399 | +The first two are preprints and the third was published in 2025; together they | ||||
| 400 | +show that every public alignment method of the window can be defeated by a | ||||
| 401 | +modest adaptive budget. Whether this brittleness is intrinsic to | ||||
| 402 | +preference-based alignment or an artefact of current scale and data is the | ||||
| 403 | +question that none of the landmark abstracts answers, and it is carried to | ||||
| 404 | +Part~X. | ||||
| 405 | + | ||||
| 406 | +\section{Reasoning, retrieval, tool use and code} | ||||
| 407 | +\label{sec:ai-reason} | ||||
| 408 | + | ||||
| 409 | +Chain-of-thought prompting \citep{wei2022cot, kojima2022zeroshotcot}, | ||||
| 410 | +tree-structured search over thoughts \citep{yao2023tot} and verbal | ||||
| 411 | +self-reflection across episodes \citep{shinn2023reflexion} are the prompting | ||||
| 412 | +lineage of the reasoning literature; their evidence is benchmark gains, mostly | ||||
| 413 | +on arithmetic and symbolic tasks, and several of the records are preprints. | ||||
| 414 | +The reasoning-model turn of 2024--2025 \citep{openai2024o1, | ||||
| 415 | +deepseek2025r1nature} internalised the procedure by training the model to | ||||
| 416 | +produce long intermediate traces and by spending compute at inference rather | ||||
| 417 | +than at training. The detector of Section~\ref{sec:m-emerging} flagged | ||||
| 418 | +\emph{reasoning models} in \KnownReasoningModelsDetectionMonth{}, | ||||
| 419 | +\KnownReasoningModelsLeadMonths{} months before the peak-growth month of | ||||
| 420 | +\KnownReasoningModelsPeakGrowthMonth{}; the long lead is an artefact of a | ||||
| 421 | +regular expression that includes chain-of-thought and therefore matched the | ||||
| 422 | +2023 prompting literature, and the honest reading is that the concept's | ||||
| 423 | +vocabulary existed well before its models. % [E-17] | ||||
| 424 | + | ||||
| 425 | +Retrieval augmentation is the most widely adopted of the window's patterns. | ||||
| 426 | +The dense passage retriever \citep{karpukhin2020dpr} and the | ||||
| 427 | +retrieval-augmented generation architecture \citep{lewis2020rag} precede the | ||||
| 428 | +window; their adoption inside it is surveyed by \citet{gao2023ragsurvey}, and | ||||
| 429 | +the known-set detector counts \KnownRetrievalAugmentedGenerationTotalWorks{} | ||||
| 430 | +matching works, detected in \KnownRetrievalAugmentedGenerationDetectionMonth{} | ||||
| 431 | +with peak growth in \KnownRetrievalAugmentedGenerationPeakGrowthMonth{}. | ||||
| 432 | +Tool use---ReAct's interleaving of reasoning traces and actions | ||||
| 433 | +\citep{yao2023react}, Toolformer's self-supervised API calls | ||||
| 434 | +\citep{schick2023toolformer}, ToolLLM's instruction tuning over thousands of | ||||
| 435 | +real APIs \citep{qin2023toolllm}, surveyed by \citet{mialon2023augmented}---is | ||||
| 436 | +the bridge from language models to the agents of Section~\ref{sec:ai-agents}; | ||||
| 437 | +all four are preprints. Hallucination, the generation of fluent content | ||||
| 438 | +unsupported by the input or by fact, is the failure mode that these | ||||
| 439 | +mechanisms are meant to contain, and it remains a measurement problem before | ||||
| 440 | +it is a modelling problem: the surveys \citep{ji2023hallucination, | ||||
| 441 | +huang2025hallucination} agree on taxonomies and disagree on metrics. The | ||||
| 442 | +clearest statement of why is in the landmark set. The Med-PaLM paper | ||||
| 443 | +\citep{singhal2023clinical} built MultiMedQA from six medical | ||||
| 444 | +question-answering datasets and a new set of consumer questions, and its | ||||
| 445 | +abstract reports that a human evaluation framework along axes of factuality, | ||||
| 446 | +comprehension, reasoning and harm was needed because automated evaluation | ||||
| 447 | +against limited benchmarks did not meet the bar for clinical use. % [E-27] | ||||
| 448 | + | ||||
| 449 | +Code generation is the application in which the window's models were first | ||||
| 450 | +measured against professional work. The Codex evaluation | ||||
| 451 | +\citep{chen2021codex}, AlphaCode's competition-level results | ||||
| 452 | +\citep{li2022alphacode}, the open code models \citep{nijkamp2023codegen, | ||||
| 453 | +roziere2023codellama, li2023starcoder} and the SWE-bench task of resolving | ||||
| 454 | +real repository issues \citep{jimenez2024swebench} define the benchmark | ||||
| 455 | +sequence; the controlled productivity experiment of \citet{peng2023copilot} | ||||
| 456 | +and the field data of \citet{ziegler2022copilot} are the usage evidence, with | ||||
| 457 | +the usability and security caveats of \citet{vaithilingam2022expectation}, | ||||
| 458 | +\citet{barke2023groundedcopilot} and \citet{pearce2022asleep}. The detector's | ||||
| 459 | +lead for \emph{AI code generation} is \KnownAiCodeGenerationLeadMonths{} | ||||
| 460 | +months. The software-engineering reading of this literature belongs to | ||||
| 461 | +Part~VII; here it is noted only that the LLM category's references to software | ||||
| 462 | +engineering in 2025 (Table~\ref{tab:ai_flows}) are the trace of this | ||||
| 463 | +application in the citation graph. | ||||
| 464 | + | ||||
| 465 | +\section{Multimodal and generative AI} | ||||
| 466 | +\label{sec:ai-multimodal} | ||||
| 467 | + | ||||
| 468 | +\subsection{Vision--language models} | ||||
| 469 | + | ||||
| 470 | +Two baseline-period results make the multimodal literature of the window | ||||
| 471 | +possible: contrastive image--text pre-training, which aligns an image encoder | ||||
| 472 | +and a text encoder on web-scale pairs \citep{radford2021clip}, and the vision | ||||
| 473 | +Transformer, which made the image encoder the same object as the text model | ||||
| 474 | +\citep{dosovitskiy2021vit}. The single-stream alternative, in which words and | ||||
| 475 | +image regions are tokens of one Transformer, is represented in the landmark | ||||
| 476 | +set by VL-BERT \citep{su2019vlbert}; the taxonomy of representation, | ||||
| 477 | +translation, alignment, fusion and co-learning that the field still uses is | ||||
| 478 | +that of \citet{baltrusaitis2019multimodal}, also in the set. Inside the window | ||||
| 479 | +the dominant design is a frozen or lightly adapted language model fed by a | ||||
| 480 | +visual encoder through a small bridge: a perceiver resampler in Flamingo | ||||
| 481 | +\citep{alayrac2022flamingo}; a querying Transformer trained in two stages | ||||
| 482 | +between frozen encoders and frozen LLMs in BLIP-2, whose abstract motivates | ||||
| 483 | +the design by the prohibitive cost of end-to-end pre-training | ||||
| 484 | +\citep{li2023blip2}; instruction tuning of the same bridge in InstructBLIP | ||||
| 485 | +\citep{dai2023instructblip}; a linear projection in LLaVA | ||||
| 486 | +\citep{liu2023llava}; shared functional modules with the language decoder as | ||||
| 487 | +``universal interface'' in mPLUG-Owl2 \citep{ye2024mplugowl2}. The promptable | ||||
| 488 | +segmentation model \citep{kirillov2023sam} is the dense-prediction analogue, | ||||
| 489 | +and the open image--text corpus LAION-5B \citep{schuhmann2022laion5b} is what | ||||
| 490 | +made CLIP-scale training reproducible outside industry. % [E-28] | ||||
| 491 | +Of these records, BLIP-2, InstructBLIP, LLaVA and LAION-5B are preprint or | ||||
| 492 | +proceedings deposits; mPLUG-Owl2 is a CVPR paper. The surveys | ||||
| 493 | +\citep{yin2024mllmsurvey, zhang2024mmllms} organise the design space; the | ||||
| 494 | +corpus-level trace is the vision-language detector, which fires | ||||
| 495 | +\KnownVisionLanguageModelsLeadMonths{} months before the concept's peak growth. | ||||
| 496 | + | ||||
| 497 | +Whether these models \emph{fuse} modalities or merely \emph{condition} on the | ||||
| 498 | +text channel is the open question that the landmark abstracts raise most | ||||
| 499 | +sharply. An evaluation of eight proprietary and open multimodal foundation | ||||
| 500 | +models on 1,090 medical cases reports, in its abstract, that image predictions | ||||
| 501 | +are ``largely driven by text'', that accuracy rises monotonically with the | ||||
| 502 | +amount of informative text, and that even mild textual suggestions of an | ||||
| 503 | +incorrect diagnosis degrade image-based classification | ||||
| 504 | +\citep{buckley2026textexploit}. % [E-30] | ||||
| 505 | +The scoping review of 432 medical multimodal papers \citep{schouten2025multimodalmedicine} | ||||
| 506 | +and the survey of fusion under noisy, missing and imbalanced modalities | ||||
| 507 | +\citep{zhang2026lowqualityfusion} describe the same robustness gap from the | ||||
| 508 | +methods side. The medical records in the set---generalist biomedical and | ||||
| 509 | +radiology models \citep{zhang2024biomedgpt, wu2025radfm}, reinforcement-learning | ||||
| 510 | +fine-tuning for medical reasoning in vision-language models and a zero-shot | ||||
| 511 | +evaluation of GPT-5 on medical visual question answering, the latter a | ||||
| 512 | +preprint \citep{lai2026medr1, wang2025gpt5medical}---report benchmark gains | ||||
| 513 | +but not modality ablations; the question is carried to Part~X. | ||||
| 514 | + | ||||
| 515 | +\subsection{Diffusion models and their applications} | ||||
| 516 | + | ||||
| 517 | +The generative lineage of the window is diffusion. Denoising diffusion | ||||
| 518 | +probabilistic models \citep{ho2020ddpm} and their latent-space formulation | ||||
| 519 | +\citep{rombach2022ldm} precede the boundary; Imagen \citep{saharia2022imagen} | ||||
| 520 | +and DALL-E~2 \citep{ramesh2022dalle2} are the 2022 text-to-image systems, | ||||
| 521 | +and the Imagen record is in the landmark set without an abstract. Three | ||||
| 522 | +technical contributions in the set define how the models are controlled. | ||||
| 523 | +Classifier-free guidance \citep{ho2022cfg}, a preprint, trains the conditional | ||||
| 524 | +and unconditional score jointly and interpolates between them at sampling | ||||
| 525 | +time, removing the separate classifier that earlier guidance required; | ||||
| 526 | +textual inversion \citep{gal2022textualinversion}, also a preprint, learns a | ||||
| 527 | +new token embedding from three to five images of a concept so that a frozen | ||||
| 528 | +model can render it; T2I-Adapter \citep{mou2024t2iadapter}, an AAAI paper, | ||||
| 529 | +trains small adapters that align external structural or colour signals with | ||||
| 530 | +the internal knowledge of a frozen text-to-image model. The Transformer | ||||
| 531 | +backbone for diffusion \citep{peebles2023dit} and its rectified-flow | ||||
| 532 | +successor \citep{esser2024sd3}, a preprint, close the architectural loop by | ||||
| 533 | +replacing the U-Net. The detector flags \emph{diffusion models} | ||||
| 534 | +\KnownDiffusionModelsLeadMonths{} months before peak growth. Outside images, | ||||
| 535 | +the one peer-reviewed scientific application in the landmark set is | ||||
| 536 | +MatterGen \citep{zeni2025mattergen}, whose abstract reports a diffusion model | ||||
| 537 | +that generates stable, diverse inorganic materials across the periodic table | ||||
| 538 | +and can be fine-tuned towards property constraints. % [E-29] | ||||
| 539 | +Speech followed the same self-supervised path a few years earlier | ||||
| 540 | +\citep{baevski2020wav2vec2, hsu2021hubert} and reached general-purpose | ||||
| 541 | +recognition with weakly supervised training at scale \citep{radford2023whisper}; | ||||
| 542 | +the review of \citet{mehrish2023speechreview} covers the category, which the | ||||
| 543 | +taxonomy places outside the nine categories of this part. | ||||
| 544 | + | ||||
| 545 | +\subsection{What the generative-AI category rewards} | ||||
| 546 | + | ||||
| 547 | +Generative AI is the category whose citation profile changed most inside the | ||||
| 548 | +window, from a vision-centred one to a three-way split between vision, LLM | ||||
| 549 | +and HCI (Table~\ref{tab:ai_flows}). Its citation-ranked landmarks are, | ||||
| 550 | +however, not the diffusion papers just described but education, policy and | ||||
| 551 | +adoption studies: a policy framework from surveys of students and staff | ||||
| 552 | +\citep{chan2023policyframework}, scoping and systematic reviews of assessment | ||||
| 553 | +and academic integrity \citep{xia2024assessmentreview, bittle2025integrity}, | ||||
| 554 | +analyses of the guidelines of 116 and of 50 United States universities | ||||
| 555 | +\citep{mcdonald2025hepolicies}, a paradox-theory essay \citep{lim2023ragnarok}, | ||||
| 556 | +an OECD outlook, and two economics papers: a preregistered field experiment, | ||||
| 557 | +circulated as an SSRN preprint, whose title states that generative AI can harm | ||||
| 558 | +learning \citep{bastani2024harmlearning}, and nationally representative | ||||
| 559 | +surveys whose abstract reports that 45 per cent of United States adults aged | ||||
| 560 | +18--64 used generative AI by late 2024 and that work adoption was faster than | ||||
| 561 | +that of the personal computer \citep{bick2026rapidadoption}. % [E-31] | ||||
| 562 | +The pattern repeats the one observed for LLMs in Section~\ref{sec:ai-landmarks}: | ||||
| 563 | +technical generative-AI papers are counted in the category but, normalised | ||||
| 564 | +against their own cohort, rarely reach its citation top within thirty-six | ||||
| 565 | +months, whereas the first social-science and education responses to the | ||||
| 566 | +technology do. A reader who takes the landmark list as the field's | ||||
| 567 | +intellectual map would conclude that generative AI is a topic in education | ||||
| 568 | +research; the correct conclusion is that field normalisation inside a | ||||
| 569 | +multi-label category measures discourse, and that the measurement is | ||||
| 570 | +informative about diffusion rather than about invention. | ||||
modified
manuscript/sections/part08_networks.tex
+37 −33
@@ -224,10 +224,10 @@ universal outside the AI/ML area. Within the AI/ML area the rise is carried by t | |||||
| 224 | reinforcement learning, deep-learning architectures and agents, while the categories that define the post | 224 | reinforcement learning, deep-learning architectures and agents, while the categories that define the post | ||
| 225 | period behave differently: the share is nearly flat for large language models, falls for foundation models and | 225 | period behave differently: the share is nearly flat for large language models, falls for foundation models and | ||
| 226 | generative AI, and is highest of all forty categories, in both periods, for multimodal AI. The United States | 226 | generative AI, and is highest of all forty categories, in both periods, for multimodal AI. The United States | ||
| 227 | −share falls in both groups and in most categories, with large language models the one AI/ML category in | 227 | +share falls in both groups and in most categories; agents and large language models are the AI/ML | ||
| 228 | −which it rises. The yearly series of Table~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} show the pooled shares of the two | 228 | +categories in which it rises. The yearly series of Table~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} show the pooled | ||
| 229 | −groups moving together: both rise through 2023 and fall in 2024 and 2025, and the two series are closer to | 229 | +shares of the two groups moving together: both rise through 2023 and fall in 2024 and 2025, and the gap | ||
| 230 | −each other in every post-period year than in any baseline year. The fall after 2023 coincides with the lower | 230 | +between them, roughly constant through 2023, closes in 2024 and 2025. The fall after 2023 coincides with the lower | ||
| 231 | affiliation coverage of recent cohorts (Section~\ref{sec:net-teams}) and cannot be read as a reversal; what | 231 | affiliation coverage of recent cohorts (Section~\ref{sec:net-teams}) and cannot be read as a reversal; what | ||
| 232 | it does establish is that the AI/ML area is not where the China share grows fastest. The verdict on this | 232 | it does establish is that the AI/ML area is not where the China share grows fastest. The verdict on this | ||
| 233 | component of H6 is therefore a supported direction with an unsupported specificity: the share rises in AI | 233 | component of H6 is therefore a supported direction with an unsupported specificity: the share rises in AI | ||
@@ -294,15 +294,15 @@ falling in the aggregate, is exactly the kind of composition question that the a | |||||
| 294 | Tables~\ref{tab:net_category_actors}, \ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest} and~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} settle it | 294 | Tables~\ref{tab:net_category_actors}, \ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest} and~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} settle it | ||
| 295 | in the negative. The company share of the AI/ML area is higher than that of the other areas in every year, | 295 | in the negative. The company share of the AI/ML area is higher than that of the other areas in every year, | ||
| 296 | which is the familiar result that industry is more present in machine learning than in the rest of computer | 296 | which is the familiar result that industry is more present in machine learning than in the rest of computer | ||
| 297 | −science; but it peaks in 2021 and falls in every subsequent year, so that the baseline-to-post decline of the | 297 | +science; but it peaks in 2021 and falls in every subsequent complete year, so that the baseline-to-post decline of the | ||
| 298 | AI/ML area is larger than that of the other areas, not smaller. The note of | 298 | AI/ML area is larger than that of the other areas, not smaller. The note of | ||
| 299 | Table~\ref{tab:net_category_actors} counts the categories whose company share rises: one of the nine AI/ML | 299 | Table~\ref{tab:net_category_actors} counts the categories whose company share rises: one of the nine AI/ML | ||
| 300 | categories (agents), against a sizeable minority of the others, among them cloud computing, information | 300 | categories (agents), against a sizeable minority of the others, among them cloud computing, information | ||
| 301 | −retrieval, distributed computing, database systems, operating systems and quantum computing. The four | 301 | +retrieval, distributed computing, database systems, operating systems and quantum computing. The AI/ML | ||
| 302 | −categories with the highest baseline company shares, multimodal AI, foundation models, reinforcement | 302 | +categories with the highest baseline company shares, multimodal AI, reinforcement learning, foundation | ||
| 303 | −learning and large language models, all lose share in the post period, and generative AI loses more than | 303 | +models and large language models, all lose share in the post period, and generative AI loses more than | ||
| 304 | half of its share. The denominator caveat of the previous paragraph applies with more force here than for the | 304 | half of its share. The denominator caveat of the previous paragraph applies with more force here than for the | ||
| 305 | −China share, because the AI/ML area has the highest and fastest-growing share of arXiv-linked works | 305 | +China share, because the AI/ML area has the highest share of arXiv-linked works | ||
| 306 | (Table~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest}) and preprints are the records least often enriched with affiliations; part of | 306 | (Table~\ref{tab:net_ai_vs_rest}) and preprints are the records least often enriched with affiliations; part of | ||
| 307 | the measured decline is therefore coverage. Nothing in the category tables, however, suggests the opposite | 307 | the measured decline is therefore coverage. Nothing in the category tables, however, suggests the opposite | ||
| 308 | sign for the AI categories, and the frontier-share results of \citet{ahmed2023industry} remain the only | 308 | sign for the AI categories, and the frontier-share results of \citet{ahmed2023industry} remain the only | ||
@@ -462,14 +462,15 @@ baseline value before 2021, so the aggregate evidence is mixed and dominated by | |||||
| 462 | version of the test, which is the one the hypothesis states, is in Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini}, which | 462 | version of the test, which is the one the hypothesis states, is in Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini}, which | ||
| 463 | gives the Gini of $c^{(36)}$ by primary category for every publication year with a complete window, and in | 463 | gives the Gini of $c^{(36)}$ by primary category for every publication year with a complete window, and in | ||
| 464 | Table~\ref{tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest}, which pools the AI/ML area against the other areas as work-weighted means | 464 | Table~\ref{tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest}, which pools the AI/ML area against the other areas as work-weighted means | ||
| 465 | −of the category statistics. Two patterns are visible. Across the baseline the within-category Gini falls in | 465 | +of the category statistics. Two patterns are visible. Between the 2018 and 2022 cohorts the within-category Gini falls in | ||
| 466 | −almost every category, as the aggregate does, and for the same reason, the falling share of uncited works. | 466 | +almost every category, as the aggregate does, and for the same reason, the falling share of uncited works; | ||
| 467 | +the exceptions are algorithms and large language models. | ||||
| 467 | For the 2023 cohort the pooled AI/ML Gini is above its baseline mean while the pooled Gini of the other | 468 | For the 2023 cohort the pooled AI/ML Gini is above its baseline mean while the pooled Gini of the other | ||
| 468 | areas is below its own; the note of Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini} counts the categories whose 2023 value | 469 | areas is below its own; the note of Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini} counts the categories whose 2023 value | ||
| 469 | exceeds their baseline mean, and the proportion is far higher among the AI/ML categories than among the | 470 | exceeds their baseline mean, and the proportion is far higher among the AI/ML categories than among the | ||
| 470 | −others. Large language models have the highest Gini of any category in every year, and theirs rises in every | 471 | +others. Large language models have the highest Gini of any category in every year from 2019 onward (the | ||
| 471 | −year of the window, baseline included, which is the one category-level series that moves against the | 472 | +implausible 2023 value of formal verification apart), and theirs ends the baseline above where it began, | ||
| 472 | −baseline decline. This is evidence in the direction of H5, and it is weak evidence: it rests on a single | 473 | +which makes it the clearest category-level exception to the baseline decline. This is evidence in the direction of H5, and it is weak evidence: it rests on a single | ||
| 473 | post-period cohort whose window is affected by truncation, the uncited share of that cohort rises by about | 474 | post-period cohort whose window is affected by truncation, the uncited share of that cohort rises by about | ||
| 474 | the same amount in both groups, so the difference between them is a tail effect rather than a zeros effect, | 475 | the same amount in both groups, so the difference between them is a tail effect rather than a zeros effect, | ||
| 475 | and the small categories, together with the implausible 2023 value for formal verification, show the | 476 | and the small categories, together with the implausible 2023 value for formal verification, show the | ||
@@ -656,7 +657,7 @@ become more self-referential and more recent-leaning over the 2010s. | |||||
| 656 | 657 | ||||
| 657 | Figure~\ref{fig:cited_age} and Table~\ref{tab:cited_age} give the distribution of the age of cited works, the | 658 | Figure~\ref{fig:cited_age} and Table~\ref{tab:cited_age} give the distribution of the age of cited works, the | ||
| 658 | citing year minus the cited work's publication year, for the resolved references of eligible works, read | 659 | citing year minus the cited work's publication year, for the resolved references of eligible works, read | ||
| 659 | −from the corpus v3 file \texttt{results/graph/cited\_age\_yearly.csv}, which is built on the same edge sets as | 660 | +from the corpus v3 file \texttt{results/\allowbreak graph/\allowbreak cited\_age\_yearly.csv}, which is built on the same edge sets as | ||
| 660 | Table~\ref{tab:reference_coverage}. The mode of citation age is two years in every citing year (visible in | 661 | Table~\ref{tab:reference_coverage}. The mode of citation age is two years in every citing year (visible in | ||
| 661 | the figure, where every curve peaks at the same abscissa); the mean age falls in every citing year from 2018 | 662 | the figure, where every curve peaks at the same abscissa); the mean age falls in every citing year from 2018 | ||
| 662 | to 2026; the median falls over the baseline years and is constant from 2021 onward; the share of | 663 | to 2026; the median falls over the baseline years and is constant from 2021 onward; the share of | ||
@@ -674,7 +675,7 @@ become first-appearance dates, and it is excluded from the age statistics. | |||||
| 674 | \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{fig_cited_age.pdf} | 675 | \includegraphics[width=0.95\textwidth]{fig_cited_age.pdf} | ||
| 675 | \caption{Distribution of the age of cited works (citing year minus cited year, 0 to 30 years) for five | 676 | \caption{Distribution of the age of cited works (citing year minus cited year, 0 to 30 years) for five | ||
| 676 | citing years. Generated by \texttt{figures/make\_figures.py} from | 677 | citing years. Generated by \texttt{figures/make\_figures.py} from | ||
| 677 | −\texttt{results/graph/cited\_age\_yearly.csv} (corpus v3); summary statistics in Table~\ref{tab:cited_age}.} | 678 | +\texttt{results/\allowbreak graph/\allowbreak cited\_age\_yearly.csv} (corpus v3); summary statistics in Table~\ref{tab:cited_age}.} | ||
| 678 | \label{fig:cited_age} | 679 | \label{fig:cited_age} | ||
| 679 | \end{figure} | 680 | \end{figure} | ||
| 680 | 681 | ||||
@@ -724,16 +725,16 @@ to the cited area (columns), per cent. Source: \texttt{results/graph/area\_flows | |||||
| 724 | \label{fig:area_flow_matrix} | 725 | \label{fig:area_flow_matrix} | ||
| 725 | \end{figure} | 726 | \end{figure} | ||
| 726 | 727 | ||||
| 727 | −The area matrices are diagonal-dominant in both periods: every area sends the majority of its internal | 728 | +The area matrices are diagonal-dominant in both periods: every area but one sends the majority of its | ||
| 728 | −references to itself, from about two thirds for the security and software areas to a much higher share for | 729 | +internal references to itself, from about two thirds for the security, software, theory and | ||
| 729 | −the perception area, which is the largest area and the one whose categories (vision, language, speech, | 730 | +computational-science areas to a much higher share for the perception area, which is the largest area and the one whose categories (vision, language, speech, | ||
| 730 | robotics, interaction, graphics) cite each other most. The largest off-diagonal flows are structural and do | 731 | robotics, interaction, graphics) cite each other most. The largest off-diagonal flows are structural and do | ||
| 731 | not change between periods: the AI/ML area sends about a third of its references to the perception area, | 732 | not change between periods: the AI/ML area sends about a third of its references to the perception area, | ||
| 732 | which is where the application work on vision and language that the machine-learning categories build on | 733 | which is where the application work on vision and language that the machine-learning categories build on | ||
| 733 | is classified; the security area sends about a sixth of its references to the data and distributed area, the | 734 | is classified; the security area sends about a sixth of its references to the data and distributed area, the | ||
| 734 | networks and cloud work that security builds on; and computational science splits its outside references | 735 | networks and cloud work that security builds on; and computational science splits its outside references | ||
| 735 | between AI/ML and perception. What changes between periods is the AI/ML column. The self-share of every | 736 | between AI/ML and perception. What changes between periods is the AI/ML column. The self-share of every | ||
| 736 | −area except perception falls, and the share of references each of these areas sends to the AI/ML area rises, | 737 | +area except perception and hardware falls, and the share of references each area sends to the AI/ML area rises, | ||
| 737 | the increments being largest for the software area, computational science, security and the data and | 738 | the increments being largest for the software area, computational science, security and the data and | ||
| 738 | distributed area (Table~\ref{tab:net_area_flows}; the post-minus-baseline differences are the subject of | 739 | distributed area (Table~\ref{tab:net_area_flows}; the post-minus-baseline differences are the subject of | ||
| 739 | Part~IX). The AI/ML area's own self-share falls as well, in favour of the perception area: the | 740 | Part~IX). The AI/ML area's own self-share falls as well, in favour of the perception area: the | ||
@@ -748,10 +749,11 @@ stated, since the hypothesis names systems, security and human--computer interac | |||||
| 748 | that should cite the AI categories more. All three do. The share of references going to the AI/ML area | 749 | that should cite the AI categories more. All three do. The share of references going to the AI/ML area | ||
| 749 | rises in human--computer interaction, software engineering, cybersecurity, database systems, distributed | 750 | rises in human--computer interaction, software engineering, cybersecurity, database systems, distributed | ||
| 750 | computing, computer networks and computer architecture, in each case from the beginning of the window, | 751 | computing, computer networks and computer architecture, in each case from the beginning of the window, | ||
| 751 | −and in each case the post-period values are above every baseline value. The timing differs across these | 752 | +and in each case the values of 2024 and 2025 are at or above every baseline value. The timing differs across these | ||
| 752 | −series in a way the hypothesis does not predict. For human--computer interaction and software engineering | 753 | +series in a way the hypothesis does not predict. For human--computer interaction the series is nearly flat | ||
| 753 | −the series is nearly flat through 2023 and rises steeply in 2024, 2025 and the incomplete 2026, so the | 754 | +through 2023 and rises steeply in 2024, 2025 and the incomplete 2026; for software engineering the rise | ||
| 754 | −change is concentrated in the second and third post-period years rather than at the boundary, consistent | 755 | +begins in 2021 and steepens from 2023; in both the change is concentrated in the second and third | ||
| 756 | +post-period years rather than at the boundary, consistent | ||||
| 755 | with the lag between the appearance of a model and the appearance of empirical work that cites it; for | 757 | with the lag between the appearance of a model and the appearance of empirical work that cites it; for | ||
| 756 | cybersecurity, database systems and distributed computing the post-period increments continue the baseline | 758 | cybersecurity, database systems and distributed computing the post-period increments continue the baseline | ||
| 757 | pace; for computer networks and computer architecture the share is the lowest among the systems categories | 759 | pace; for computer networks and computer architecture the share is the lowest among the systems categories | ||
@@ -762,7 +764,7 @@ category and was cited as NLP work rather than as machine learning, and rises st | |||||
| 762 | large-language-model category (which the ontology places in the AI/ML area) absorbs the work the category | 764 | large-language-model category (which the ontology places in the AI/ML area) absorbs the work the category | ||
| 763 | now builds on. Computer vision shows no such rise, which again reflects the classifier's boundary: vision | 765 | now builds on. Computer vision shows no such rise, which again reflects the classifier's boundary: vision | ||
| 764 | work citing vision models is a within-category flow. The theory categories rise modestly, and | 766 | work citing vision models is a within-category flow. The theory categories rise modestly, and | ||
| 765 | −computational biology and robotics return in the post period to the shares they had in 2018. These are | 767 | +computational biology and robotics return in the post period to the levels of the earliest, sparse years. These are | ||
| 766 | flows of references between classified works; they say that the systems, security and interaction | 768 | flows of references between classified works; they say that the systems, security and interaction | ||
| 767 | categories build on AI/ML-classified work more than they did, which is what H4 asserts, and not that the | 769 | categories build on AI/ML-classified work more than they did, which is what H4 asserts, and not that the | ||
| 768 | work itself has become AI research, which is a question about classification rather than citation. | 770 | work itself has become AI research, which is a question about classification rather than citation. | ||
@@ -786,8 +788,9 @@ language, are placed in a different area, and the statistic would be lower under | |||||
| 786 | machine learning with its application fields. This dependence on the partition is the reason | 788 | machine learning with its application fields. This dependence on the partition is the reason | ||
| 787 | Section~\ref{sec:m-networks} describes $X_{\alpha,t}$ as a boundary-crossing rate and not as a measure of | 789 | Section~\ref{sec:m-networks} describes $X_{\alpha,t}$ as a boundary-crossing rate and not as a measure of | ||
| 788 | interdisciplinarity in the sense of \citet{stirling2007diversity} or \citet{rafols2010diversity}, whose | 790 | interdisciplinarity in the sense of \citet{stirling2007diversity} or \citet{rafols2010diversity}, whose | ||
| 789 | −indicators weight pairs of categories by their distance. The security, software, theory and data areas | 791 | +indicators weight pairs of categories by their distance. The security, software and data areas | ||
| 790 | −rise through the whole window at a steady pace, the hardware area is flat, computational science rises and | 792 | +rise through the whole window; the theory area rises in the sparse early years, is flat in the late | ||
| 793 | +baseline and rises again in the post period; the hardware area is flat, computational science rises and | ||||
| 791 | falls back in the incomplete year, and the perception area, after a fall in 2019 that belongs to the small | 794 | falls back in the incomplete year, and the perception area, after a fall in 2019 that belongs to the small | ||
| 792 | 2018 network, is flat at the lowest level. Table~\ref{tab:net_modularity} aggregates these shares over areas | 795 | 2018 network, is flat at the lowest level. Table~\ref{tab:net_modularity} aggregates these shares over areas | ||
| 793 | in two ways. The raw aggregate is flat through the baseline and rises in every post-period year; the | 796 | in two ways. The raw aggregate is flat through the baseline and rises in every post-period year; the | ||
@@ -800,14 +803,15 @@ series, with the composition qualification stated. | |||||
| 800 | 803 | ||||
| 801 | H4's second component is the modularity. $Q_{\mathrm{cat}}$ peaks in 2019 and falls in every subsequent | 804 | H4's second component is the modularity. $Q_{\mathrm{cat}}$ peaks in 2019 and falls in every subsequent | ||
| 802 | year; $Q_{\mathrm{area}}$ falls in every year from 2018 to 2025 and is flat, with a slight uptick in the | 805 | year; $Q_{\mathrm{area}}$ falls in every year from 2018 to 2025 and is flat, with a slight uptick in the | ||
| 803 | −incomplete year, from 2023 onward; the self-share peaks in 2019 and falls thereafter, fastest after 2023 | 806 | +incomplete year, from 2023 onward; the self-share peaks in 2019, is nearly flat through 2022 and falls in every post-period year, fastest after 2023 | ||
| 804 | (Table~\ref{tab:net_modularity}, Figure~\ref{fig:cross_area}, right). The post-period means are below the | 807 | (Table~\ref{tab:net_modularity}, Figure~\ref{fig:cross_area}, right). The post-period means are below the | ||
| 805 | baseline means at both partitions, as the note of the table records, so the verdict on this component is | 808 | baseline means at both partitions, as the note of the table records, so the verdict on this component is | ||
| 806 | that the hypothesis is supported in direction at both levels. The caveats are substantive. The decline is | 809 | that the hypothesis is supported in direction at both levels. The caveats are substantive. The decline is | ||
| 807 | −present throughout the baseline; the 2022 boundary is not a break in either series, and the yearly | 810 | +present throughout the baseline; the 2022 boundary is not a break in either series; the yearly | ||
| 808 | −decrements of $Q_{\mathrm{cat}}$ in the post period are of the same order as the larger baseline | 811 | +decrements of $Q_{\mathrm{cat}}$ are somewhat larger in the post period than in the late baseline, while | ||
| 809 | −decrements, while $Q_{\mathrm{area}}$ stops falling in the post period, so that at the area partition the | 812 | +$Q_{\mathrm{area}}$ stops falling after 2023, so that the two partitions tell different stories about the | ||
| 810 | −post period is where the decline ends rather than where it begins. Because the partition is fixed, a fall in | 813 | +post period: continued, slightly faster de-assortment between categories, and an end to the decline between | ||
| 814 | +areas. Because the partition is fixed, a fall in | ||||
| 811 | $Q$ can arise from a change in the mix of citing works as well as from a change in citing behaviour; the | 815 | $Q$ can arise from a change in the mix of citing works as well as from a change in citing behaviour; the | ||
| 812 | adjusted cross-area series shows that both are present. The modularity of equation~\eqref{eq:modularity} | 816 | adjusted cross-area series shows that both are present. The modularity of equation~\eqref{eq:modularity} | ||
| 813 | inherits every property of the classifier, and in particular the placement of large language models in the | 817 | inherits every property of the classifier, and in particular the placement of large language models in the | ||
@@ -889,7 +893,7 @@ names all send a growing share of their references to the AI/ML categories, with | |||||
| 889 | human--computer interaction and software engineering in 2024--2026 rather than at the boundary | 893 | human--computer interaction and software engineering in 2024--2026 rather than at the boundary | ||
| 890 | (Tables~\ref{tab:net_category_to_ai} and~\ref{tab:net_modularity}). The modularity falls at both the | 894 | (Tables~\ref{tab:net_category_to_ai} and~\ref{tab:net_modularity}). The modularity falls at both the | ||
| 891 | category and the area partition, with post-period means below baseline means, but the fall is a | 895 | category and the area partition, with post-period means below baseline means, but the fall is a | ||
| 892 | −baseline trend that continues at the category level and stops at the area level after 2023; part of it is | 896 | +baseline trend that continues, slightly faster, at the category level and stops at the area level after 2023; part of it is | ||
| 893 | the growing weight of the most boundary-crossing area among citing works, and all of it depends on where the | 897 | the growing weight of the most boundary-crossing area among citing works, and all of it depends on where the | ||
| 894 | ontology draws the boundary between machine learning and its application fields | 898 | ontology draws the boundary between machine learning and its application fields | ||
| 895 | (Section~\ref{sec:net-flows-categories}). The field-level counterpart, the share of computer-science | 899 | (Section~\ref{sec:net-flows-categories}). The field-level counterpart, the share of computer-science | ||
modified
manuscript/tables/TABLES.json
+57 −57
@@ -103,7 +103,7 @@ | |||||
| 103 | "caption": "Fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year.", | 103 | "caption": "Fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year.", | ||
| 104 | "label": "tab:countries", | 104 | "label": "tab:countries", | ||
| 105 | "sources": [ | 105 | "sources": [ | ||
| 106 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | 106 | + "./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | ||
| 107 | ], | 107 | ], | ||
| 108 | "rows": 15 | 108 | "rows": 15 | ||
| 109 | }, | 109 | }, | ||
@@ -112,7 +112,7 @@ | |||||
| 112 | "caption": "Structural-change estimates by series: ITS level and slope changes at 2022-12 (HAC p-values), placebo p-values, Bai\u2013Perron (BIC) and PELT break dates.", | 112 | "caption": "Structural-change estimates by series: ITS level and slope changes at 2022-12 (HAC p-values), placebo p-values, Bai\u2013Perron (BIC) and PELT break dates.", | ||
| 113 | "label": "tab:breaks", | 113 | "label": "tab:breaks", | ||
| 114 | "sources": [ | 114 | "sources": [ | ||
| 115 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 115 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 116 | ], | 116 | ], | ||
| 117 | "rows": 41 | 117 | "rows": 41 | ||
| 118 | }, | 118 | }, | ||
@@ -121,7 +121,7 @@ | |||||
| 121 | "caption": "Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 12 months (test cutoffs 2023-01\u20132024-10).", | 121 | "caption": "Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 12 months (test cutoffs 2023-01\u20132024-10).", | ||
| 122 | "label": "tab:emerging_h12", | 122 | "label": "tab:emerging_h12", | ||
| 123 | "sources": [ | 123 | "sources": [ | ||
| 124 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/metrics_h12.json" | 124 | + "./results/emerging/metrics_h12.json" | ||
| 125 | ], | 125 | ], | ||
| 126 | "rows": 3 | 126 | "rows": 3 | ||
| 127 | }, | 127 | }, | ||
@@ -130,7 +130,7 @@ | |||||
| 130 | "caption": "Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 24 months (test cutoffs 2023-01\u20132024-04).", | 130 | "caption": "Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 24 months (test cutoffs 2023-01\u20132024-04).", | ||
| 131 | "label": "tab:emerging_h24", | 131 | "label": "tab:emerging_h24", | ||
| 132 | "sources": [ | 132 | "sources": [ | ||
| 133 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/metrics_h24.json" | 133 | + "./results/emerging/metrics_h24.json" | ||
| 134 | ], | 134 | ], | ||
| 135 | "rows": 3 | 135 | "rows": 3 | ||
| 136 | }, | 136 | }, | ||
@@ -139,7 +139,7 @@ | |||||
| 139 | "caption": "Preregistered known-emergence set: detection month, peak-growth month and lead time.", | 139 | "caption": "Preregistered known-emergence set: detection month, peak-growth month and lead time.", | ||
| 140 | "label": "tab:known_set", | 140 | "label": "tab:known_set", | ||
| 141 | "sources": [ | 141 | "sources": [ | ||
| 142 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/known_set_lead_times.csv" | 142 | + "./results/emerging/known_set_lead_times.csv" | ||
| 143 | ], | 143 | ], | ||
| 144 | "rows": 12 | 144 | "rows": 12 | ||
| 145 | }, | 145 | }, | ||
@@ -148,8 +148,8 @@ | |||||
| 148 | "caption": "Team size and collaboration indicators by publication year (all eligible works; periods of the source file summed).", | 148 | "caption": "Team size and collaboration indicators by publication year (all eligible works; periods of the source file summed).", | ||
| 149 | "label": "tab:collaboration", | 149 | "label": "tab:collaboration", | ||
| 150 | "sources": [ | 150 | "sources": [ | ||
| 151 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/team_size_yearly.csv", | 151 | + "./results/bibliometrics/team_size_yearly.csv", | ||
| 152 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/international_collab_yearly.csv" | 152 | + "./results/bibliometrics/international_collab_yearly.csv" | ||
| 153 | ], | 153 | ], | ||
| 154 | "rows": 9 | 154 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 155 | }, | 155 | }, | ||
@@ -158,7 +158,7 @@ | |||||
| 158 | "caption": "Share of typed affiliations by OpenAlex institution type and year (per cent of affiliation-work pairs).", | 158 | "caption": "Share of typed affiliations by OpenAlex institution type and year (per cent of affiliation-work pairs).", | ||
| 159 | "label": "tab:institution_types", | 159 | "label": "tab:institution_types", | ||
| 160 | "sources": [ | 160 | "sources": [ | ||
| 161 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/institution_types_yearly.csv" | 161 | + "./results/bibliometrics/institution_types_yearly.csv" | ||
| 162 | ], | 162 | ], | ||
| 163 | "rows": 9 | 163 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 164 | }, | 164 | }, | ||
@@ -167,7 +167,7 @@ | |||||
| 167 | "caption": "Share of fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year (per cent).", | 167 | "caption": "Share of fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year (per cent).", | ||
| 168 | "label": "tab:country_shares", | 168 | "label": "tab:country_shares", | ||
| 169 | "sources": [ | 169 | "sources": [ | ||
| 170 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | 170 | + "./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | ||
| 171 | ], | 171 | ], | ||
| 172 | "rows": 15 | 172 | "rows": 15 | ||
| 173 | }, | 173 | }, | ||
@@ -176,7 +176,7 @@ | |||||
| 176 | "caption": "Concentration of output across countries by year, and the two largest producers under full counting.", | 176 | "caption": "Concentration of output across countries by year, and the two largest producers under full counting.", | ||
| 177 | "label": "tab:country_concentration", | 177 | "label": "tab:country_concentration", | ||
| 178 | "sources": [ | 178 | "sources": [ | ||
| 179 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | 179 | + "./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv" | ||
| 180 | ], | 180 | ], | ||
| 181 | "rows": 9 | 181 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 182 | }, | 182 | }, | ||
@@ -185,7 +185,7 @@ | |||||
| 185 | "caption": "The country co-authorship network by period: edges with at least fifty joint works.", | 185 | "caption": "The country co-authorship network by period: edges with at least fifty joint works.", | ||
| 186 | "label": "tab:country_network", | 186 | "label": "tab:country_network", | ||
| 187 | "sources": [ | 187 | "sources": [ | ||
| 188 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv" | 188 | + "./results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv" | ||
| 189 | ], | 189 | ], | ||
| 190 | "rows": 2 | 190 | "rows": 2 | ||
| 191 | }, | 191 | }, | ||
@@ -194,7 +194,7 @@ | |||||
| 194 | "caption": "The twenty strongest country pairs by period (number of joint works).", | 194 | "caption": "The twenty strongest country pairs by period (number of joint works).", | ||
| 195 | "label": "tab:country_pairs", | 195 | "label": "tab:country_pairs", | ||
| 196 | "sources": [ | 196 | "sources": [ | ||
| 197 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv" | 197 | + "./results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv" | ||
| 198 | ], | 198 | ], | ||
| 199 | "rows": 20 | 199 | "rows": 20 | ||
| 200 | }, | 200 | }, | ||
@@ -203,7 +203,7 @@ | |||||
| 203 | "caption": "Institutions with at least two hundred works per period: coverage and concentration (fractional counting).", | 203 | "caption": "Institutions with at least two hundred works per period: coverage and concentration (fractional counting).", | ||
| 204 | "label": "tab:institution_concentration", | 204 | "label": "tab:institution_concentration", | ||
| 205 | "sources": [ | 205 | "sources": [ | ||
| 206 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv" | 206 | + "./results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv" | ||
| 207 | ], | 207 | ], | ||
| 208 | "rows": 3 | 208 | "rows": 3 | ||
| 209 | }, | 209 | }, | ||
@@ -212,7 +212,7 @@ | |||||
| 212 | "caption": "The twenty-five institutions with the largest fractional output in the post period, with their baseline output.", | 212 | "caption": "The twenty-five institutions with the largest fractional output in the post period, with their baseline output.", | ||
| 213 | "label": "tab:top_institutions", | 213 | "label": "tab:top_institutions", | ||
| 214 | "sources": [ | 214 | "sources": [ | ||
| 215 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv" | 215 | + "./results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv" | ||
| 216 | ], | 216 | ], | ||
| 217 | "rows": 25 | 217 | "rows": 25 | ||
| 218 | }, | 218 | }, | ||
@@ -221,7 +221,7 @@ | |||||
| 221 | "caption": "Distribution of works over source types among the listed sources, by period (per cent).", | 221 | "caption": "Distribution of works over source types among the listed sources, by period (per cent).", | ||
| 222 | "label": "tab:source_types", | 222 | "label": "tab:source_types", | ||
| 223 | "sources": [ | 223 | "sources": [ | ||
| 224 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv" | 224 | + "./results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv" | ||
| 225 | ], | 225 | ], | ||
| 226 | "rows": 2 | 226 | "rows": 2 | ||
| 227 | }, | 227 | }, | ||
@@ -230,7 +230,7 @@ | |||||
| 230 | "caption": "The twenty largest sources (venues) by period, with OpenAlex source type.", | 230 | "caption": "The twenty largest sources (venues) by period, with OpenAlex source type.", | ||
| 231 | "label": "tab:top_sources", | 231 | "label": "tab:top_sources", | ||
| 232 | "sources": [ | 232 | "sources": [ | ||
| 233 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv" | 233 | + "./results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv" | ||
| 234 | ], | 234 | ], | ||
| 235 | "rows": 20 | 235 | "rows": 20 | ||
| 236 | }, | 236 | }, | ||
@@ -239,7 +239,7 @@ | |||||
| 239 | "caption": "Age of cited works by citing year (resolved references of eligible works; corpus version of the result file at generation time).", | 239 | "caption": "Age of cited works by citing year (resolved references of eligible works; corpus version of the result file at generation time).", | ||
| 240 | "label": "tab:cited_age", | 240 | "label": "tab:cited_age", | ||
| 241 | "sources": [ | 241 | "sources": [ | ||
| 242 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/cited_age_yearly.csv" | 242 | + "./results/graph/cited_age_yearly.csv" | ||
| 243 | ], | 243 | ], | ||
| 244 | "rows": 9 | 244 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 245 | }, | 245 | }, | ||
@@ -248,7 +248,7 @@ | |||||
| 248 | "caption": "The ten most cited works of each publication year by 36-month window citations (c36), with total citations to date.", | 248 | "caption": "The ten most cited works of each publication year by 36-month window citations (c36), with total citations to date.", | ||
| 249 | "label": "tab:top_cited", | 249 | "label": "tab:top_cited", | ||
| 250 | "sources": [ | 250 | "sources": [ | ||
| 251 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_cited_by_year.csv" | 251 | + "./results/bibliometrics/top_cited_by_year.csv" | ||
| 252 | ], | 252 | ], | ||
| 253 | "rows": 80 | 253 | "rows": 80 | ||
| 254 | }, | 254 | }, | ||
@@ -257,7 +257,7 @@ | |||||
| 257 | "caption": "DBLP records of 2018--2026 without an OpenAlex counterpart, by DBLP record type and year.", | 257 | "caption": "DBLP records of 2018--2026 without an OpenAlex counterpart, by DBLP record type and year.", | ||
| 258 | "label": "tab:dblp_only", | 258 | "label": "tab:dblp_only", | ||
| 259 | "sources": [ | 259 | "sources": [ | ||
| 260 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/dblp_only_yearly.csv" | 260 | + "./results/bibliometrics/dblp_only_yearly.csv" | ||
| 261 | ], | 261 | ], | ||
| 262 | "rows": 9 | 262 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 263 | }, | 263 | }, | ||
@@ -266,7 +266,7 @@ | |||||
| 266 | "caption": "The OpenAlex \\texttt{created\\_date} relative to the publication date, by publication year.", | 266 | "caption": "The OpenAlex \\texttt{created\\_date} relative to the publication date, by publication year.", | ||
| 267 | "label": "tab:indexing_lag", | 267 | "label": "tab:indexing_lag", | ||
| 268 | "sources": [ | 268 | "sources": [ | ||
| 269 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/indexing_lag.csv" | 269 | + "./results/bibliometrics/indexing_lag.csv" | ||
| 270 | ], | 270 | ], | ||
| 271 | "rows": 9 | 271 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 272 | }, | 272 | }, | ||
@@ -275,7 +275,7 @@ | |||||
| 275 | "caption": "Reference coverage by citing year: declared, resolved, internal and external references of eligible works.", | 275 | "caption": "Reference coverage by citing year: declared, resolved, internal and external references of eligible works.", | ||
| 276 | "label": "tab:reference_coverage", | 276 | "label": "tab:reference_coverage", | ||
| 277 | "sources": [ | 277 | "sources": [ | ||
| 278 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/reference_coverage_yearly.csv" | 278 | + "./results/graph/reference_coverage_yearly.csv" | ||
| 279 | ], | 279 | ], | ||
| 280 | "rows": 9 | 280 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 281 | }, | 281 | }, | ||
@@ -284,7 +284,7 @@ | |||||
| 284 | "caption": "Destination of the resolved references of eligible works by citing year: inside the corpus, computer science outside it, and the seven largest other OpenAlex fields (per cent of resolved references).", | 284 | "caption": "Destination of the resolved references of eligible works by citing year: inside the corpus, computer science outside it, and the seven largest other OpenAlex fields (per cent of resolved references).", | ||
| 285 | "label": "tab:field_flows", | 285 | "label": "tab:field_flows", | ||
| 286 | "sources": [ | 286 | "sources": [ | ||
| 287 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/field_flows_yearly.csv" | 287 | + "./results/graph/field_flows_yearly.csv" | ||
| 288 | ], | 288 | ], | ||
| 289 | "rows": 9 | 289 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 290 | }, | 290 | }, | ||
@@ -293,7 +293,7 @@ | |||||
| 293 | "caption": "Citation-flow matrices between the eight areas of the ontology by period: share of each citing area's internal references received by each cited area (per cent).", | 293 | "caption": "Citation-flow matrices between the eight areas of the ontology by period: share of each citing area's internal references received by each cited area (per cent).", | ||
| 294 | "label": "tab:net_area_flows", | 294 | "label": "tab:net_area_flows", | ||
| 295 | "sources": [ | 295 | "sources": [ | ||
| 296 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/area_flows_yearly.csv" | 296 | + "./results/graph/area_flows_yearly.csv" | ||
| 297 | ], | 297 | ], | ||
| 298 | "rows": 16 | 298 | "rows": 16 | ||
| 299 | }, | 299 | }, | ||
@@ -302,8 +302,8 @@ | |||||
| 302 | "caption": "Modularity of the yearly category citation-flow network at the category and area partitions, the within-category self-share, and the aggregate cross-area share of internal references, raw and composition-adjusted.", | 302 | "caption": "Modularity of the yearly category citation-flow network at the category and area partitions, the within-category self-share, and the aggregate cross-area share of internal references, raw and composition-adjusted.", | ||
| 303 | "label": "tab:net_modularity", | 303 | "label": "tab:net_modularity", | ||
| 304 | "sources": [ | 304 | "sources": [ | ||
| 305 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/modularity_yearly.csv", | 305 | + "./results/graph/modularity_yearly.csv", | ||
| 306 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/cross_area_share_yearly.csv" | 306 | + "./results/graph/cross_area_share_yearly.csv" | ||
| 307 | ], | 307 | ], | ||
| 308 | "rows": 9 | 308 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 309 | }, | 309 | }, | ||
@@ -312,7 +312,7 @@ | |||||
| 312 | "caption": "Share of each category's internal references received by the nine categories of the AI/ML area, by citing year (per cent).", | 312 | "caption": "Share of each category's internal references received by the nine categories of the AI/ML area, by citing year (per cent).", | ||
| 313 | "label": "tab:net_category_to_ai", | 313 | "label": "tab:net_category_to_ai", | ||
| 314 | "sources": [ | 314 | "sources": [ | ||
| 315 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv" | 315 | + "./results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv" | ||
| 316 | ], | 316 | ], | ||
| 317 | "rows": 40 | 317 | "rows": 40 | ||
| 318 | }, | 318 | }, | ||
@@ -321,7 +321,7 @@ | |||||
| 321 | "caption": "Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).", | 321 | "caption": "Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).", | ||
| 322 | "label": "tab:net_category_actors", | 322 | "label": "tab:net_category_actors", | ||
| 323 | "sources": [ | 323 | "sources": [ | ||
| 324 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | 324 | + "./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | ||
| 325 | ], | 325 | ], | ||
| 326 | "rows": 40 | 326 | "rows": 40 | ||
| 327 | }, | 327 | }, | ||
@@ -330,7 +330,7 @@ | |||||
| 330 | "caption": "Actor shares of works whose primary category is in the AI/ML area against all other areas, by period (per cent).", | 330 | "caption": "Actor shares of works whose primary category is in the AI/ML area against all other areas, by period (per cent).", | ||
| 331 | "label": "tab:net_ai_vs_rest", | 331 | "label": "tab:net_ai_vs_rest", | ||
| 332 | "sources": [ | 332 | "sources": [ | ||
| 333 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | 333 | + "./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | ||
| 334 | ], | 334 | ], | ||
| 335 | "rows": 4 | 335 | "rows": 4 | ||
| 336 | }, | 336 | }, | ||
@@ -339,7 +339,7 @@ | |||||
| 339 | "caption": "China-affiliated, company-affiliated and international shares of works by year, AI/ML area against all other areas (per cent).", | 339 | "caption": "China-affiliated, company-affiliated and international shares of works by year, AI/ML area against all other areas (per cent).", | ||
| 340 | "label": "tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly", | 340 | "label": "tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly", | ||
| 341 | "sources": [ | 341 | "sources": [ | ||
| 342 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | 342 | + "./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv" | ||
| 343 | ], | 343 | ], | ||
| 344 | "rows": 9 | 344 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 345 | }, | 345 | }, | ||
@@ -348,16 +348,16 @@ | |||||
| 348 | "caption": "Gini coefficient of 36-month citations $c^{(36)}$ by primary category and publication year, for years with a complete window; baseline mean, change of the last complete year against it, and share uncited at 36 months in that year.", | 348 | "caption": "Gini coefficient of 36-month citations $c^{(36)}$ by primary category and publication year, for years with a complete window; baseline mean, change of the last complete year against it, and share uncited at 36 months in that year.", | ||
| 349 | "label": "tab:net_category_gini", | 349 | "label": "tab:net_category_gini", | ||
| 350 | "sources": [ | 350 | "sources": [ | ||
| 351 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv" | 351 | + "./results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv" | ||
| 352 | ], | 352 | ], | ||
| 353 | "rows": 40 | 353 | "rows": 40 | ||
| 354 | }, | 354 | }, | ||
| 355 | { | 355 | { | ||
| 356 | "file": "tab_net_gini_ai_vs_rest.tex", | 356 | "file": "tab_net_gini_ai_vs_rest.tex", | ||
| 357 | − "caption": "Citation inequality and levels at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.", | 357 | + "caption": "Citation inequality at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.", | ||
| 358 | "label": "tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest", | 358 | "label": "tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest", | ||
| 359 | "sources": [ | 359 | "sources": [ | ||
| 360 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv" | 360 | + "./results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv" | ||
| 361 | ], | 361 | ], | ||
| 362 | "rows": 6 | 362 | "rows": 6 | ||
| 363 | }, | 363 | }, | ||
@@ -366,7 +366,7 @@ | |||||
| 366 | "caption": "Volume, compound annual growth and corpus share of the nine AI categories, baseline (2018--2022) and post (2023--2025) periods.", | 366 | "caption": "Volume, compound annual growth and corpus share of the nine AI categories, baseline (2018--2022) and post (2023--2025) periods.", | ||
| 367 | "label": "tab:ai_growth", | 367 | "label": "tab:ai_growth", | ||
| 368 | "sources": [ | 368 | "sources": [ | ||
| 369 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv" | 369 | + "./results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv" | ||
| 370 | ], | 370 | ], | ||
| 371 | "rows": 9 | 371 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 372 | }, | 372 | }, | ||
@@ -375,7 +375,7 @@ | |||||
| 375 | "caption": "Yearly multi-label counts of the nine AI categories (all period rows summed; 2026 incomplete).", | 375 | "caption": "Yearly multi-label counts of the nine AI categories (all period rows summed; 2026 incomplete).", | ||
| 376 | "label": "tab:ai_counts", | 376 | "label": "tab:ai_counts", | ||
| 377 | "sources": [ | 377 | "sources": [ | ||
| 378 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | 378 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | ||
| 379 | ], | 379 | ], | ||
| 380 | "rows": 9 | 380 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 381 | }, | 381 | }, | ||
@@ -384,7 +384,7 @@ | |||||
| 384 | "caption": "Structural change at 30 November 2022 in the nine AI categories: interrupted-time-series level and slope changes, placebo p-values, Bai--Perron and PELT break dates.", | 384 | "caption": "Structural change at 30 November 2022 in the nine AI categories: interrupted-time-series level and slope changes, placebo p-values, Bai--Perron and PELT break dates.", | ||
| 385 | "label": "tab:ai_breaks", | 385 | "label": "tab:ai_breaks", | ||
| 386 | "sources": [ | 386 | "sources": [ | ||
| 387 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 387 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 388 | ], | 388 | ], | ||
| 389 | "rows": 9 | 389 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 390 | }, | 390 | }, | ||
@@ -393,7 +393,7 @@ | |||||
| 393 | "caption": "Interrupted-time-series level changes of the nine AI categories at the alternative event dates (GPT-3, DALL-E 2, GPT-4, o1).", | 393 | "caption": "Interrupted-time-series level changes of the nine AI categories at the alternative event dates (GPT-3, DALL-E 2, GPT-4, o1).", | ||
| 394 | "label": "tab:ai_altdates", | 394 | "label": "tab:ai_altdates", | ||
| 395 | "sources": [ | 395 | "sources": [ | ||
| 396 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 396 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 397 | ], | 397 | ], | ||
| 398 | "rows": 9 | 398 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 399 | }, | 399 | }, | ||
@@ -402,7 +402,7 @@ | |||||
| 402 | "caption": "Destination of the in-corpus references of the nine AI categories in 2019, 2022 and 2025 (per cent of in-corpus references of the citing category).", | 402 | "caption": "Destination of the in-corpus references of the nine AI categories in 2019, 2022 and 2025 (per cent of in-corpus references of the citing category).", | ||
| 403 | "label": "tab:ai_flows", | 403 | "label": "tab:ai_flows", | ||
| 404 | "sources": [ | 404 | "sources": [ | ||
| 405 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv" | 405 | + "./results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv" | ||
| 406 | ], | 406 | ], | ||
| 407 | "rows": 27 | 407 | "rows": 27 | ||
| 408 | }, | 408 | }, | ||
@@ -411,7 +411,7 @@ | |||||
| 411 | "caption": "Specialist screening of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates: records by primary category and data-quality flag.", | 411 | "caption": "Specialist screening of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates: records by primary category and data-quality flag.", | ||
| 412 | "label": "tab:ai_landmark_flags", | 412 | "label": "tab:ai_landmark_flags", | ||
| 413 | "sources": [ | 413 | "sources": [ | ||
| 414 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | 414 | + "./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | ||
| 415 | ], | 415 | ], | ||
| 416 | "rows": 9 | 416 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 417 | }, | 417 | }, | ||
@@ -420,7 +420,7 @@ | |||||
| 420 | "caption": "Contribution type of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates by primary category (specialist judgement from abstract or metadata).", | 420 | "caption": "Contribution type of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates by primary category (specialist judgement from abstract or metadata).", | ||
| 421 | "label": "tab:ai_contribution_types", | 421 | "label": "tab:ai_contribution_types", | ||
| 422 | "sources": [ | 422 | "sources": [ | ||
| 423 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | 423 | + "./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | ||
| 424 | ], | 424 | ], | ||
| 425 | "rows": 9 | 425 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 426 | }, | 426 | }, | ||
@@ -429,7 +429,7 @@ | |||||
| 429 | "caption": "The 234 AI/ML landmark candidates with the specialist's contribution type and data-quality flag (titles in literature\\_synthesis/agent\\_E/contributions.csv).", | 429 | "caption": "The 234 AI/ML landmark candidates with the specialist's contribution type and data-quality flag (titles in literature\\_synthesis/agent\\_E/contributions.csv).", | ||
| 430 | "label": "tab:ai_landmarks", | 430 | "label": "tab:ai_landmarks", | ||
| 431 | "sources": [ | 431 | "sources": [ | ||
| 432 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | 432 | + "./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv" | ||
| 433 | ], | 433 | ], | ||
| 434 | "rows": 234 | 434 | "rows": 234 | ||
| 435 | }, | 435 | }, | ||
@@ -438,7 +438,7 @@ | |||||
| 438 | "caption": "Eligible works in the five security-and-privacy categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).", | 438 | "caption": "Eligible works in the five security-and-privacy categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).", | ||
| 439 | "label": "tab:security_counts", | 439 | "label": "tab:security_counts", | ||
| 440 | "sources": [ | 440 | "sources": [ | ||
| 441 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | 441 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | ||
| 442 | ], | 442 | ], | ||
| 443 | "rows": 9 | 443 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 444 | }, | 444 | }, | ||
@@ -447,8 +447,8 @@ | |||||
| 447 | "caption": "Growth and structural-change summary for the five security-and-privacy categories (multi-label counts).", | 447 | "caption": "Growth and structural-change summary for the five security-and-privacy categories (multi-label counts).", | ||
| 448 | "label": "tab:security_summary", | 448 | "label": "tab:security_summary", | ||
| 449 | "sources": [ | 449 | "sources": [ | ||
| 450 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv", | 450 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv", | ||
| 451 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 451 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 452 | ], | 452 | ], | ||
| 453 | "rows": 5 | 453 | "rows": 5 | ||
| 454 | }, | 454 | }, | ||
@@ -457,8 +457,8 @@ | |||||
| 457 | "caption": "Co-classification of security-and-privacy works with the LLM, AI-safety and AI-agents categories, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the security category's works.", | 457 | "caption": "Co-classification of security-and-privacy works with the LLM, AI-safety and AI-agents categories, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the security category's works.", | ||
| 458 | "label": "tab:security_llm_cooccurrence", | 458 | "label": "tab:security_llm_cooccurrence", | ||
| 459 | "sources": [ | 459 | "sources": [ | ||
| 460 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv", | 460 | + "./results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv", | ||
| 461 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | 461 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | ||
| 462 | ], | 462 | ], | ||
| 463 | "rows": 9 | 463 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 464 | }, | 464 | }, | ||
@@ -467,7 +467,7 @@ | |||||
| 467 | "caption": "Composition of the automatically selected landmark set of the security-and-privacy area, by category.", | 467 | "caption": "Composition of the automatically selected landmark set of the security-and-privacy area, by category.", | ||
| 468 | "label": "tab:security_landmarks", | 468 | "label": "tab:security_landmarks", | ||
| 469 | "sources": [ | 469 | "sources": [ | ||
| 470 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/security_privacy_landmarks.csv" | 470 | + "./literature_synthesis/landmarks/security_privacy_landmarks.csv" | ||
| 471 | ], | 471 | ], | ||
| 472 | "rows": 5 | 472 | "rows": 5 | ||
| 473 | }, | 473 | }, | ||
@@ -476,8 +476,8 @@ | |||||
| 476 | "caption": "The systems and infrastructure categories of Part VI: primary-category output, compound annual growth, and structural-change estimates of the monthly log-volume series.", | 476 | "caption": "The systems and infrastructure categories of Part VI: primary-category output, compound annual growth, and structural-change estimates of the monthly log-volume series.", | ||
| 477 | "label": "tab:systems_categories", | 477 | "label": "tab:systems_categories", | ||
| 478 | "sources": [ | 478 | "sources": [ | ||
| 479 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv", | 479 | + "./results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv", | ||
| 480 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 480 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 481 | ], | 481 | ], | ||
| 482 | "rows": 11 | 482 | "rows": 11 | ||
| 483 | }, | 483 | }, | ||
@@ -486,7 +486,7 @@ | |||||
| 486 | "caption": "Eligible works in the six theory and software categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).", | 486 | "caption": "Eligible works in the six theory and software categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).", | ||
| 487 | "label": "tab:theory_counts", | 487 | "label": "tab:theory_counts", | ||
| 488 | "sources": [ | 488 | "sources": [ | ||
| 489 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | 489 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | ||
| 490 | ], | 490 | ], | ||
| 491 | "rows": 9 | 491 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 492 | }, | 492 | }, | ||
@@ -495,8 +495,8 @@ | |||||
| 495 | "caption": "Growth and structural-change summary for the six theory and software categories (multi-label counts).", | 495 | "caption": "Growth and structural-change summary for the six theory and software categories (multi-label counts).", | ||
| 496 | "label": "tab:theory_summary", | 496 | "label": "tab:theory_summary", | ||
| 497 | "sources": [ | 497 | "sources": [ | ||
| 498 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv", | 498 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv", | ||
| 499 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | 499 | + "./results/econometrics/breaks.csv" | ||
| 500 | ], | 500 | ], | ||
| 501 | "rows": 6 | 501 | "rows": 6 | ||
| 502 | }, | 502 | }, | ||
@@ -505,8 +505,8 @@ | |||||
| 505 | "caption": "Co-classification of theory and software works with the LLM category, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the category's multi-label count.", | 505 | "caption": "Co-classification of theory and software works with the LLM category, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the category's multi-label count.", | ||
| 506 | "label": "tab:theory_llm_cooccurrence", | 506 | "label": "tab:theory_llm_cooccurrence", | ||
| 507 | "sources": [ | 507 | "sources": [ | ||
| 508 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv", | 508 | + "./results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv", | ||
| 509 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | 509 | + "./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv" | ||
| 510 | ], | 510 | ], | ||
| 511 | "rows": 9 | 511 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 512 | }, | 512 | }, | ||
@@ -515,9 +515,9 @@ | |||||
| 515 | "caption": "Specialist audit of the automatically selected landmark candidates of the theory and software areas, by verdict and primary category.", | 515 | "caption": "Specialist audit of the automatically selected landmark candidates of the theory and software areas, by verdict and primary category.", | ||
| 516 | "label": "tab:theory_landmark_audit", | 516 | "label": "tab:theory_landmark_audit", | ||
| 517 | "sources": [ | 517 | "sources": [ | ||
| 518 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv", | 518 | + "./literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv", | ||
| 519 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/theory_landmarks.csv", | 519 | + "./literature_synthesis/landmarks/theory_landmarks.csv", | ||
| 520 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/software_pl_landmarks.csv" | 520 | + "./literature_synthesis/landmarks/software_pl_landmarks.csv" | ||
| 521 | ], | 521 | ], | ||
| 522 | "rows": 9 | 522 | "rows": 9 | ||
| 523 | }, | 523 | }, | ||
@@ -526,7 +526,7 @@ | |||||
| 526 | "caption": "Landmark candidates of the theory and software areas retained as in-scope research or survey contributions, with the contribution type judged from the abstract or metadata.", | 526 | "caption": "Landmark candidates of the theory and software areas retained as in-scope research or survey contributions, with the contribution type judged from the abstract or metadata.", | ||
| 527 | "label": "tab:theory_landmarks_discussed", | 527 | "label": "tab:theory_landmarks_discussed", | ||
| 528 | "sources": [ | 528 | "sources": [ | ||
| 529 | − "/Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv" | 529 | + "./literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv" | ||
| 530 | ], | 530 | ], | ||
| 531 | "rows": 37 | 531 | "rows": 37 | ||
| 532 | } | 532 | } | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_altdates.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Interrupted-time-series level changes of the nine AI categories at the alternative event dates (GPT-3, DALL-E 2, GPT-4, o1).}\label{tab:ai_altdates} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Interrupted-time-series level changes of the nine AI categories at the alternative event dates (GPT-3, DALL-E 2, GPT-4, o1).}\label{tab:ai_altdates} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_breaks.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Structural change at 30 November 2022 in the nine AI categories: interrupted-time-series level and slope changes, placebo p-values, Bai--Perron and PELT break dates.}\label{tab:ai_breaks} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Structural change at 30 November 2022 in the nine AI categories: interrupted-time-series level and slope changes, placebo p-values, Bai--Perron and PELT break dates.}\label{tab:ai_breaks} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_contribution_types.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Contribution type of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates by primary category (specialist judgement from abstract or metadata).}\label{tab:ai_contribution_types} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Contribution type of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates by primary category (specialist judgement from abstract or metadata).}\label{tab:ai_contribution_types} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_counts.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Yearly multi-label counts of the nine AI categories (all period rows summed; 2026 incomplete).}\label{tab:ai_counts} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Yearly multi-label counts of the nine AI categories (all period rows summed; 2026 incomplete).}\label{tab:ai_counts} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_flows.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Destination of the in-corpus references of the nine AI categories in 2019, 2022 and 2025 (per cent of in-corpus references of the citing category).}\label{tab:ai_flows}\\ | 3 | \caption{Destination of the in-corpus references of the nine AI categories in 2019, 2022 and 2025 (per cent of in-corpus references of the citing category).}\label{tab:ai_flows}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_growth.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Volume, compound annual growth and corpus share of the nine AI categories, baseline (2018--2022) and post (2023--2025) periods.}\label{tab:ai_growth} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Volume, compound annual growth and corpus share of the nine AI categories, baseline (2018--2022) and post (2023--2025) periods.}\label{tab:ai_growth} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_landmark_flags.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Specialist screening of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates: records by primary category and data-quality flag.}\label{tab:ai_landmark_flags} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Specialist screening of the 234 AI/ML landmark candidates: records by primary category and data-quality flag.}\label{tab:ai_landmark_flags} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_ai_landmarks.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/agent_E/contributions.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{The 234 AI/ML landmark candidates with the specialist's contribution type and data-quality flag (titles in literature\_synthesis/agent\_E/contributions.csv).}\label{tab:ai_landmarks}\\ | 3 | \caption{The 234 AI/ML landmark candidates with the specialist's contribution type and data-quality flag (titles in literature\_synthesis/agent\_E/contributions.csv).}\label{tab:ai_landmarks}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_breaks.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Structural-change estimates by series: ITS level and slope changes at 2022-12 (HAC p-values), placebo p-values, Bai–Perron (BIC) and PELT break dates.}\label{tab:breaks}\\ | 3 | \caption{Structural-change estimates by series: ITS level and slope changes at 2022-12 (HAC p-values), placebo p-values, Bai–Perron (BIC) and PELT break dates.}\label{tab:breaks}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_cited_age.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/cited_age_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/cited_age_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Age of cited works by citing year (resolved references of eligible works; corpus version of the result file at generation time).}\label{tab:cited_age} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Age of cited works by citing year (resolved references of eligible works; corpus version of the result file at generation time).}\label{tab:cited_age} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_collaboration.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/team_size_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/international_collab_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/team_size_yearly.csv, ./results/bibliometrics/international_collab_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Team size and collaboration indicators by publication year (all eligible works; periods of the source file summed).}\label{tab:collaboration} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Team size and collaboration indicators by publication year (all eligible works; periods of the source file summed).}\label{tab:collaboration} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_countries.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year.}\label{tab:countries} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year.}\label{tab:countries} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_country_concentration.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Concentration of output across countries by year, and the two largest producers under full counting.}\label{tab:country_concentration} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Concentration of output across countries by year, and the two largest producers under full counting.}\label{tab:country_concentration} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_country_network.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The country co-authorship network by period: edges with at least fifty joint works.}\label{tab:country_network} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The country co-authorship network by period: edges with at least fifty joint works.}\label{tab:country_network} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_country_pairs.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/country_pairs_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The twenty strongest country pairs by period (number of joint works).}\label{tab:country_pairs} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The twenty strongest country pairs by period (number of joint works).}\label{tab:country_pairs} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_country_shares.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/countries_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Share of fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year (per cent).}\label{tab:country_shares} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Share of fractional output of the fifteen largest countries by year (per cent).}\label{tab:country_shares} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_dblp_only.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/dblp_only_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/dblp_only_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{DBLP records of 2018--2026 without an OpenAlex counterpart, by DBLP record type and year.}\label{tab:dblp_only} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{DBLP records of 2018--2026 without an OpenAlex counterpart, by DBLP record type and year.}\label{tab:dblp_only} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_emerging_h12.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/metrics_h12.json | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/emerging/metrics_h12.json | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 12 months (test cutoffs 2023-01–2024-10).}\label{tab:emerging_h12} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 12 months (test cutoffs 2023-01–2024-10).}\label{tab:emerging_h12} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_emerging_h24.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/metrics_h24.json | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/emerging/metrics_h24.json | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 24 months (test cutoffs 2023-01–2024-04).}\label{tab:emerging_h24} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Out-of-time performance of the emerging-topic detectors at horizon 24 months (test cutoffs 2023-01–2024-04).}\label{tab:emerging_h24} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_field_flows.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/field_flows_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/field_flows_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Destination of the resolved references of eligible works by citing year: inside the corpus, computer science outside it, and the seven largest other OpenAlex fields (per cent of resolved references).}\label{tab:field_flows} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Destination of the resolved references of eligible works by citing year: inside the corpus, computer science outside it, and the seven largest other OpenAlex fields (per cent of resolved references).}\label{tab:field_flows} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_indexing_lag.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/indexing_lag.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/indexing_lag.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The OpenAlex \texttt{created\_date} relative to the publication date, by publication year.}\label{tab:indexing_lag} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The OpenAlex \texttt{created\_date} relative to the publication date, by publication year.}\label{tab:indexing_lag} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_institution_concentration.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Institutions with at least two hundred works per period: coverage and concentration (fractional counting).}\label{tab:institution_concentration} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Institutions with at least two hundred works per period: coverage and concentration (fractional counting).}\label{tab:institution_concentration} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_institution_types.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/institution_types_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/institution_types_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Share of typed affiliations by OpenAlex institution type and year (per cent of affiliation-work pairs).}\label{tab:institution_types} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Share of typed affiliations by OpenAlex institution type and year (per cent of affiliation-work pairs).}\label{tab:institution_types} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_known_set.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/emerging/known_set_lead_times.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/emerging/known_set_lead_times.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Preregistered known-emergence set: detection month, peak-growth month and lead time.}\label{tab:known_set} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Preregistered known-emergence set: detection month, peak-growth month and lead time.}\label{tab:known_set} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_ai_vs_rest.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Actor shares of works whose primary category is in the AI/ML area against all other areas, by period (per cent).}\label{tab:net_ai_vs_rest} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Actor shares of works whose primary category is in the AI/ML area against all other areas, by period (per cent).}\label{tab:net_ai_vs_rest} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_ai_vs_rest_yearly.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{China-affiliated, company-affiliated and international shares of works by year, AI/ML area against all other areas (per cent).}\label{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{China-affiliated, company-affiliated and international shares of works by year, AI/ML area against all other areas (per cent).}\label{tab:net_ai_vs_rest_yearly} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_area_flows.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/area_flows_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/area_flows_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Citation-flow matrices between the eight areas of the ontology by period: share of each citing area's internal references received by each cited area (per cent).}\label{tab:net_area_flows} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Citation-flow matrices between the eight areas of the ontology by period: share of each citing area's internal references received by each cited area (per cent).}\label{tab:net_area_flows} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_category_actors.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/category_actors_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | −\begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | +\begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).}\label{tab:net_category_actors}\\ | 3 | \caption{Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).}\label{tab:net_category_actors}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
| 5 | −\textbf{Category} & \textbf{Works, base} & \textbf{Works, post} & \textbf{CN, base} & \textbf{CN, post} & \textbf{US, base} & \textbf{US, post} & \textbf{Comp., base} & \textbf{Comp., post} & \textbf{Intl., base} & \textbf{Intl., post} \\ | 5 | +\textbf{Category} & \textbf{CN, base} & \textbf{CN, post} & \textbf{US, base} & \textbf{US, post} & \textbf{Comp., base} & \textbf{Comp., post} & \textbf{Intl., base} & \textbf{Intl., post} \\ | ||
| 6 | \midrule | 6 | \midrule | ||
| 7 | \endfirsthead | 7 | \endfirsthead | ||
| 8 | \toprule | 8 | \toprule | ||
| 9 | −\textbf{Category} & \textbf{Works, base} & \textbf{Works, post} & \textbf{CN, base} & \textbf{CN, post} & \textbf{US, base} & \textbf{US, post} & \textbf{Comp., base} & \textbf{Comp., post} & \textbf{Intl., base} & \textbf{Intl., post} \\ | 9 | +\textbf{Category} & \textbf{CN, base} & \textbf{CN, post} & \textbf{US, base} & \textbf{US, post} & \textbf{Comp., base} & \textbf{Comp., post} & \textbf{Intl., base} & \textbf{Intl., post} \\ | ||
| 10 | \midrule | 10 | \midrule | ||
| 11 | \endhead | 11 | \endhead | ||
| 12 | −Large Language Models & 11{,}813 & 132{,}127 & 17.8 & 18.3 & 13.1 & 16.9 & 9.1 & 7.7 & 11.6 & 13.9 \\ | 12 | +Large Language Models & 17.8 & 18.3 & 13.1 & 16.9 & 9.1 & 7.7 & 11.6 & 13.9 \\ | ||
| 13 | −Foundation Models & 838 & 6{,}186 & 34.7 & 31.5 & 22.3 & 19.2 & 9.7 & 8.6 & 18.5 & 20.4 \\ | 13 | +Foundation Models & 34.7 & 31.5 & 22.3 & 19.2 & 9.7 & 8.6 & 18.5 & 20.4 \\ | ||
| 14 | −Multimodal AI & 4{,}007 & 20{,}970 & 44.7 & 47.2 & 17.5 & 12.8 & 12.8 & 8.6 & 20.9 & 19.2 \\ | 14 | +Multimodal AI & 44.7 & 47.2 & 17.5 & 12.8 & 12.8 & 8.6 & 20.9 & 19.2 \\ | ||
| 15 | −Generative AI & 7{,}503 & 38{,}194 & 25.8 & 22.1 & 18.2 & 12.1 & 7.8 & 3.5 & 16.1 & 13.2 \\ | 15 | +Generative AI & 25.8 & 22.1 & 18.2 & 12.1 & 7.8 & 3.5 & 16.1 & 13.2 \\ | ||
| 16 | −AI Agents and Autonomous Systems & 25{,}167 & 32{,}219 & 18.6 & 23.4 & 12.2 & 13.1 & 3.0 & 4.8 & 17.7 & 15.8 \\ | 16 | +AI Agents and Autonomous Systems & 18.6 & 23.4 & 12.2 & 13.1 & 3.0 & 4.8 & 17.7 & 15.8 \\ | ||
| 17 | −Reinforcement Learning & 26{,}913 & 44{,}477 & 21.9 & 33.8 & 24.4 & 15.9 & 10.1 & 6.3 & 16.9 & 16.3 \\ | 17 | +Reinforcement Learning & 21.9 & 33.8 & 24.4 & 15.9 & 10.1 & 6.3 & 16.9 & 16.3 \\ | ||
| 18 | −Machine Learning Theory & 88{,}923 & 112{,}830 & 16.3 & 18.8 & 22.4 & 16.2 & 7.5 & 4.8 & 18.0 & 16.9 \\ | 18 | +Machine Learning Theory & 16.3 & 18.8 & 22.4 & 16.2 & 7.5 & 4.8 & 18.0 & 16.9 \\ | ||
| 19 | −Deep Learning Architectures & 87{,}481 & 116{,}113 & 28.7 & 34.7 & 15.9 & 12.3 & 6.6 & 5.4 & 18.9 & 18.0 \\ | 19 | +Deep Learning Architectures & 28.7 & 34.7 & 15.9 & 12.3 & 6.6 & 5.4 & 18.9 & 18.0 \\ | ||
| 20 | −Computer Vision & 421{,}385 & 521{,}935 & 31.2 & 38.3 & 11.6 & 8.7 & 6.6 & 5.7 & 16.6 & 15.6 \\ | 20 | +Computer Vision & 31.2 & 38.3 & 11.6 & 8.7 & 6.6 & 5.7 & 16.6 & 15.6 \\ | ||
| 21 | −Natural Language Processing & 134{,}844 & 152{,}754 & 15.5 & 17.9 & 14.6 & 11.9 & 7.9 & 5.6 & 14.1 & 14.3 \\ | 21 | +Natural Language Processing & 15.5 & 17.9 & 14.6 & 11.9 & 7.9 & 5.6 & 14.1 & 14.3 \\ | ||
| 22 | −Speech and Audio Computing & 62{,}133 & 65{,}819 & 16.3 & 21.7 & 10.7 & 9.1 & 8.0 & 7.1 & 12.5 & 13.0 \\ | 22 | +Speech and Audio Computing & 16.3 & 21.7 & 10.7 & 9.1 & 8.0 & 7.1 & 12.5 & 13.0 \\ | ||
| 23 | −Robotics & 101{,}643 & 118{,}241 & 22.1 & 31.9 & 18.8 & 15.2 & 5.7 & 5.2 & 17.7 & 16.8 \\ | 23 | +Robotics & 22.1 & 31.9 & 18.8 & 15.2 & 5.7 & 5.2 & 17.7 & 16.8 \\ | ||
| 24 | −Human-Computer Interaction & 174{,}138 & 196{,}794 & 7.1 & 9.8 & 14.5 & 12.6 & 3.6 & 2.7 & 12.9 & 13.2 \\ | 24 | +Human-Computer Interaction & 7.1 & 9.8 & 14.5 & 12.6 & 3.6 & 2.7 & 12.9 & 13.2 \\ | ||
| 25 | −Software Engineering & 132{,}205 & 129{,}300 & 6.9 & 10.1 & 8.7 & 9.4 & 4.2 & 4.6 & 11.6 & 11.6 \\ | 25 | +Software Engineering & 6.9 & 10.1 & 8.7 & 9.4 & 4.2 & 4.6 & 11.6 & 11.6 \\ | ||
| 26 | −Programming Languages & 20{,}392 & 15{,}837 & 5.6 & 7.7 & 15.0 & 13.5 & 3.3 & 2.9 & 15.3 & 15.2 \\ | 26 | +Programming Languages & 5.6 & 7.7 & 15.0 & 13.5 & 3.3 & 2.9 & 15.3 & 15.2 \\ | ||
| 27 | −Compilers & 3{,}450 & 2{,}900 & 9.2 & 13.4 & 19.7 & 16.2 & 6.8 & 6.9 & 14.4 & 14.9 \\ | 27 | +Compilers & 9.2 & 13.4 & 19.7 & 16.2 & 6.8 & 6.9 & 14.4 & 14.9 \\ | ||
| 28 | −Formal Verification & 22{,}992 & 18{,}225 & 10.2 & 11.8 & 14.0 & 13.1 & 3.9 & 3.6 & 24.7 & 25.2 \\ | 28 | +Formal Verification & 10.2 & 11.8 & 14.0 & 13.1 & 3.9 & 3.6 & 24.7 & 25.2 \\ | ||
| 29 | −Algorithms and Data Structures & 144{,}105 & 121{,}771 & 19.2 & 24.6 & 15.6 & 13.9 & 3.1 & 3.1 & 23.2 & 22.2 \\ | 29 | +Algorithms and Data Structures & 19.2 & 24.6 & 15.6 & 13.9 & 3.1 & 3.1 & 23.2 & 22.2 \\ | ||
| 30 | −Computational Complexity & 18{,}778 & 15{,}760 & 10.9 & 13.2 & 14.3 & 11.6 & 1.8 & 1.8 & 19.1 & 18.9 \\ | 30 | +Computational Complexity & 10.9 & 13.2 & 14.3 & 11.6 & 1.8 & 1.8 & 19.1 & 18.9 \\ | ||
| 31 | −Database Systems & 74{,}552 & 61{,}582 & 13.1 & 14.6 & 10.7 & 9.2 & 4.4 & 5.1 & 13.4 & 11.8 \\ | 31 | +Database Systems & 13.1 & 14.6 & 10.7 & 9.2 & 4.4 & 5.1 & 13.4 & 11.8 \\ | ||
| 32 | −Information Retrieval & 58{,}198 & 61{,}738 & 22.3 & 29.0 & 13.3 & 10.7 & 8.1 & 9.0 & 16.1 & 14.8 \\ | 32 | +Information Retrieval & 22.3 & 29.0 & 13.3 & 10.7 & 8.1 & 9.0 & 16.1 & 14.8 \\ | ||
| 33 | −Distributed Computing & 52{,}661 & 43{,}642 & 19.5 & 25.3 & 18.9 & 16.1 & 5.7 & 6.7 & 17.9 & 17.0 \\ | 33 | +Distributed Computing & 19.5 & 25.3 & 18.9 & 16.1 & 5.7 & 6.7 & 17.9 & 17.0 \\ | ||
| 34 | −Cloud Computing & 40{,}415 & 36{,}757 & 15.0 & 13.9 & 8.8 & 9.6 & 4.9 & 6.8 & 13.2 & 11.0 \\ | 34 | +Cloud Computing & 15.0 & 13.9 & 8.8 & 9.6 & 4.9 & 6.8 & 13.2 & 11.0 \\ | ||
| 35 | −Edge Computing & 34{,}568 & 40{,}445 & 17.5 & 21.2 & 10.6 & 8.2 & 5.0 & 4.3 & 20.6 & 19.7 \\ | 35 | +Edge Computing & 17.5 & 21.2 & 10.6 & 8.2 & 5.0 & 4.3 & 20.6 & 19.7 \\ | ||
| 36 | −Computer Networks & 267{,}896 & 212{,}342 & 24.4 & 29.8 & 12.0 & 9.9 & 7.0 & 7.4 & 21.7 & 22.2 \\ | 36 | +Computer Networks & 24.4 & 29.8 & 12.0 & 9.9 & 7.0 & 7.4 & 21.7 & 22.2 \\ | ||
| 37 | −Cybersecurity & 154{,}197 & 195{,}498 & 12.3 & 14.0 & 12.9 & 11.1 & 3.9 & 3.7 & 12.9 & 12.9 \\ | 37 | +Cybersecurity & 12.3 & 14.0 & 12.9 & 11.1 & 3.9 & 3.7 & 12.9 & 12.9 \\ | ||
| 38 | −Applied Cryptography & 53{,}877 & 51{,}175 & 18.1 & 22.5 & 8.9 & 8.4 & 4.2 & 4.9 & 15.6 & 16.0 \\ | 38 | +Applied Cryptography & 18.1 & 22.5 & 8.9 & 8.4 & 4.2 & 4.9 & 15.6 & 16.0 \\ | ||
| 39 | −Blockchain Systems & 46{,}516 & 62{,}087 & 12.2 & 12.5 & 8.4 & 7.2 & 2.9 & 2.4 & 12.9 & 13.5 \\ | 39 | +Blockchain Systems & 12.2 & 12.5 & 8.4 & 7.2 & 2.9 & 2.4 & 12.9 & 13.5 \\ | ||
| 40 | −Computer Architecture & 86{,}471 & 70{,}512 & 13.8 & 22.2 & 20.0 & 17.8 & 9.9 & 9.8 & 15.8 & 15.1 \\ | 40 | +Computer Architecture & 13.8 & 22.2 & 20.0 & 17.8 & 9.9 & 9.8 & 15.8 & 15.1 \\ | ||
| 41 | −Accelerators and AI Hardware & 5{,}520 & 6{,}917 & 25.4 & 33.6 & 24.5 & 18.2 & 7.4 & 7.0 & 23.5 & 19.9 \\ | 41 | +Accelerators and AI Hardware & 25.4 & 33.6 & 24.5 & 18.2 & 7.4 & 7.0 & 23.5 & 19.9 \\ | ||
| 42 | −Operating Systems & 6{,}877 & 5{,}158 & 15.9 & 22.2 & 15.3 & 13.7 & 7.9 & 9.0 & 13.4 & 13.4 \\ | 42 | +Operating Systems & 15.9 & 22.2 & 15.3 & 13.7 & 7.9 & 9.0 & 13.4 & 13.4 \\ | ||
| 43 | −Quantum Computing & 39{,}846 & 60{,}417 & 19.3 & 16.0 & 18.2 & 19.8 & 6.9 & 8.4 & 21.3 & 20.1 \\ | 43 | +Quantum Computing & 19.3 & 16.0 & 18.2 & 19.8 & 6.9 & 8.4 & 21.3 & 20.1 \\ | ||
| 44 | −Scientific Computing & 93{,}944 & 84{,}877 & 24.8 & 27.9 & 17.4 & 16.2 & 3.4 & 3.4 & 24.0 & 22.9 \\ | 44 | +Scientific Computing & 24.8 & 27.9 & 17.4 & 16.2 & 3.4 & 3.4 & 24.0 & 22.9 \\ | ||
| 45 | −Computational Biology & 82{,}846 & 97{,}856 & 19.1 & 23.4 & 24.2 & 18.2 & 5.3 & 4.3 & 22.9 & 21.7 \\ | 45 | +Computational Biology & 19.1 & 23.4 & 24.2 & 18.2 & 5.3 & 4.3 & 22.9 & 21.7 \\ | ||
| 46 | −Computer Graphics & 46{,}021 & 43{,}270 & 14.2 & 20.6 & 14.0 & 11.9 & 5.1 & 5.4 & 13.4 & 12.6 \\ | 46 | +Computer Graphics & 14.2 & 20.6 & 14.0 & 11.9 & 5.1 & 5.4 & 13.4 & 12.6 \\ | ||
| 47 | −Privacy-Preserving Computation & 18{,}816 & 28{,}450 & 19.1 & 25.0 & 21.4 & 16.2 & 6.3 & 5.2 & 20.0 & 19.7 \\ | 47 | +Privacy-Preserving Computation & 19.1 & 25.0 & 21.4 & 16.2 & 6.3 & 5.2 & 20.0 & 19.7 \\ | ||
| 48 | −Federated Learning & 2{,}229 & 9{,}011 & 26.6 & 39.1 & 23.4 & 13.0 & 9.6 & 5.2 & 23.5 & 23.5 \\ | 48 | +Federated Learning & 26.6 & 39.1 & 23.4 & 13.0 & 9.6 & 5.2 & 23.5 & 23.5 \\ | ||
| 49 | −AI Safety and Alignment & 9{,}997 & 33{,}792 & 4.3 & 5.7 & 27.4 & 19.6 & 5.9 & 3.7 & 15.6 & 15.1 \\ | 49 | +AI Safety and Alignment & 4.3 & 5.7 & 27.4 & 19.6 & 5.9 & 3.7 & 15.6 & 15.1 \\ | ||
| 50 | −Sustainable Computing & 3{,}356 & 5{,}389 & 20.2 & 20.0 & 17.1 & 12.7 & 5.4 & 6.2 & 23.7 & 18.3 \\ | 50 | +Sustainable Computing & 20.2 & 20.0 & 17.1 & 12.7 & 5.4 & 6.2 & 23.7 & 18.3 \\ | ||
| 51 | −Autonomous Scientific Discovery & 841 & 2{,}539 & 8.1 & 14.6 & 33.4 & 23.1 & 8.7 & 6.7 & 18.5 & 18.2 \\ | 51 | +Autonomous Scientific Discovery & 8.1 & 14.6 & 33.4 & 23.1 & 8.7 & 6.7 & 18.5 & 18.2 \\ | ||
| 52 | \bottomrule | 52 | \bottomrule | ||
| 53 | −\multicolumn{11}{p{0.95\linewidth}}{\footnotesize Baseline: works dated 2018-01-01 to 2022-11-29; post: 2022-11-30 to 2026-11-02 (incomplete). Shares are over all works of the category, including works without affiliation data, so they are depressed where affiliation coverage is low (recent cohorts, preprint-heavy categories) and are not comparable with the typed-denominator shares of Tables~\ref{tab:industry} and~\ref{tab:country_concentration}; comparisons across periods within a category carry this caveat. Comp. = at least one company-typed affiliation; Intl. = at least two author countries. Categories whose post share exceeds their baseline share: China-affiliated, 7 of the 9 AI/ML categories and 28 of the 31 others; company, 1 of 9 and 13 of 31; international, 2 of 9 and 11 of 31.}\\ | 53 | +\multicolumn{9}{p{0.95\linewidth}}{\footnotesize Baseline: works dated 2018-01-01 to 2022-11-29; post: 2022-11-30 to 2026-11-02 (incomplete). Shares are over all works of the category, including works without affiliation data, so they are depressed where affiliation coverage is low (recent cohorts, preprint-heavy categories) and are not comparable with the typed-denominator shares of Tables~\ref{tab:industry} and~\ref{tab:country_concentration}; comparisons across periods within a category carry this caveat. Comp. = at least one company-typed affiliation; Intl. = at least two author countries; works per category and period are in Part~IX. Categories whose post share exceeds their baseline share: China-affiliated, 7 of the 9 AI/ML categories and 28 of the 31 others; company, 1 of 9 and 13 of 31; international, 2 of 9 and 11 of 31.}\\ | ||
| 54 | \end{longtable} | 54 | \end{longtable} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_category_gini.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Gini coefficient of 36-month citations $c^{(36)}$ by primary category and publication year, for years with a complete window; baseline mean, change of the last complete year against it, and share uncited at 36 months in that year.}\label{tab:net_category_gini}\\ | 3 | \caption{Gini coefficient of 36-month citations $c^{(36)}$ by primary category and publication year, for years with a complete window; baseline mean, change of the last complete year against it, and share uncited at 36 months in that year.}\label{tab:net_category_gini}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_category_to_ai.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_flows_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Share of each category's internal references received by the nine categories of the AI/ML area, by citing year (per cent).}\label{tab:net_category_to_ai}\\ | 3 | \caption{Share of each category's internal references received by the nine categories of the AI/ML area, by citing year (per cent).}\label{tab:net_category_to_ai}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_gini_ai_vs_rest.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/category_impact_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | −\begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Citation inequality and levels at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.}\label{tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest} | 2 | +\begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Citation inequality at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.}\label{tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | −\begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | +\begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | ||
| 5 | \toprule | 5 | \toprule | ||
| 6 | −\textbf{Year} & \textbf{Works, AI/ML} & \textbf{Works, other} & \textbf{Gini, AI/ML} & \textbf{Gini, other} & \textbf{Mean c36, AI/ML} & \textbf{Mean c36, other} & \textbf{Uncited, AI/ML (\%)} & \textbf{Uncited, other (\%)} & \textbf{Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (\%)} & \textbf{Top decile FWCI, other (\%)} \\ | 6 | +\textbf{Year} & \textbf{Gini, AI/ML} & \textbf{Gini, other} & \textbf{Uncited, AI/ML (\%)} & \textbf{Uncited, other (\%)} & \textbf{Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (\%)} & \textbf{Top decile FWCI, other (\%)} \\ | ||
| 7 | \midrule | 7 | \midrule | ||
| 8 | −2018 & 38{,}148 & 460{,}583 & 0.799 & 0.796 & 7.26 & 4.99 & 37.7 & 43.4 & 15.8 & 15.0 \\ | 8 | +2018 & 0.799 & 0.796 & 37.7 & 43.4 & 15.8 & 15.0 \\ | ||
| 9 | −2019 & 47{,}860 & 491{,}076 & 0.779 & 0.787 & 7.81 & 5.68 & 34.5 & 40.6 & 15.6 & 15.0 \\ | 9 | +2019 & 0.779 & 0.787 & 34.5 & 40.6 & 15.6 & 15.0 \\ | ||
| 10 | −2020 & 54{,}806 & 492{,}618 & 0.773 & 0.775 & 8.21 & 6.38 & 32.0 & 37.3 & 15.3 & 14.6 \\ | 10 | +2020 & 0.773 & 0.775 & 32.0 & 37.3 & 15.3 & 14.6 \\ | ||
| 11 | −2021 & 60{,}987 & 495{,}830 & 0.765 & 0.760 & 7.64 & 6.56 & 31.5 & 33.8 & 15.3 & 14.9 \\ | 11 | +2021 & 0.765 & 0.760 & 31.5 & 33.8 & 15.3 & 14.9 \\ | ||
| 12 | −2022 & 63{,}609 & 493{,}388 & 0.755 & 0.749 & 7.83 & 6.71 & 29.4 & 31.4 & 15.9 & 15.3 \\ | 12 | +2022 & 0.755 & 0.749 & 29.4 & 31.4 & 15.9 & 15.3 \\ | ||
| 13 | −2023 & 82{,}170 & 548{,}963 & 0.787 & 0.765 & 8.98 & 6.64 & 32.4 & 34.0 & 15.8 & 14.8 \\ | 13 | +2023 & 0.787 & 0.765 & 32.4 & 34.0 & 15.8 & 14.8 \\ | ||
| 14 | \bottomrule | 14 | \bottomrule | ||
| 15 | \end{tabular} | 15 | \end{tabular} | ||
| 16 | −\begin{tablenotes}\footnotesize\item Group statistics are work-weighted means of the category statistics of Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini} (the Gini is therefore a weighted mean of within-category Ginis, not the Gini of the pooled group). Top decile FWCI: share of works in the top decile of OpenAlex field-weighted citation impact. The last year carries the right-truncation caveat.\end{tablenotes} | 16 | +\begin{tablenotes}\footnotesize\item Group statistics are work-weighted means of the category statistics of Table~\ref{tab:net_category_gini} (the Gini is therefore a weighted mean of within-category Ginis, not the Gini of the pooled group); group sizes are the sums of the category counts of \texttt{category\_impact\_yearly.csv}. Top decile FWCI: share of works in the top decile of OpenAlex field-weighted citation impact. The last year carries the right-truncation caveat.\end{tablenotes} | ||
| 17 | \end{threeparttable}\end{table} | 17 | \end{threeparttable}\end{table} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_net_modularity.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/modularity_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/cross_area_share_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/modularity_yearly.csv, ./results/graph/cross_area_share_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Modularity of the yearly category citation-flow network at the category and area partitions, the within-category self-share, and the aggregate cross-area share of internal references, raw and composition-adjusted.}\label{tab:net_modularity} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Modularity of the yearly category citation-flow network at the category and area partitions, the within-category self-share, and the aggregate cross-area share of internal references, raw and composition-adjusted.}\label{tab:net_modularity} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_reference_coverage.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/reference_coverage_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/reference_coverage_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Reference coverage by citing year: declared, resolved, internal and external references of eligible works.}\label{tab:reference_coverage} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Reference coverage by citing year: declared, resolved, internal and external references of eligible works.}\label{tab:reference_coverage} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_security_counts.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Eligible works in the five security-and-privacy categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).}\label{tab:security_counts}\\ | 3 | \caption{Eligible works in the five security-and-privacy categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).}\label{tab:security_counts}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_security_landmarks.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/security_privacy_landmarks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/landmarks/security_privacy_landmarks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Composition of the automatically selected landmark set of the security-and-privacy area, by category.}\label{tab:security_landmarks} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Composition of the automatically selected landmark set of the security-and-privacy area, by category.}\label{tab:security_landmarks} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_security_llm_cooccurrence.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv, ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Co-classification of security-and-privacy works with the LLM, AI-safety and AI-agents categories, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the security category's works.}\label{tab:security_llm_cooccurrence}\\ | 3 | \caption{Co-classification of security-and-privacy works with the LLM, AI-safety and AI-agents categories, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the security category's works.}\label{tab:security_llm_cooccurrence}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_security_summary.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv, ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Growth and structural-change summary for the five security-and-privacy categories (multi-label counts).}\label{tab:security_summary} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Growth and structural-change summary for the five security-and-privacy categories (multi-label counts).}\label{tab:security_summary} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_source_types.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Distribution of works over source types among the listed sources, by period (per cent).}\label{tab:source_types} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Distribution of works over source types among the listed sources, by period (per cent).}\label{tab:source_types} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_systems_categories.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/cagr_by_category.csv, ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The systems and infrastructure categories of Part VI: primary-category output, compound annual growth, and structural-change estimates of the monthly log-volume series.}\label{tab:systems_categories} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The systems and infrastructure categories of Part VI: primary-category output, compound annual growth, and structural-change estimates of the monthly log-volume series.}\label{tab:systems_categories} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_theory_counts.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Eligible works in the six theory and software categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).}\label{tab:theory_counts}\\ | 3 | \caption{Eligible works in the six theory and software categories by publication year: works carrying the category (all) and works whose primary category it is (prim.).}\label{tab:theory_counts}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_theory_landmark_audit.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/theory_landmarks.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/landmarks/software_pl_landmarks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv, ./literature_synthesis/landmarks/theory_landmarks.csv, ./literature_synthesis/landmarks/software_pl_landmarks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Specialist audit of the automatically selected landmark candidates of the theory and software areas, by verdict and primary category.}\label{tab:theory_landmark_audit} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Specialist audit of the automatically selected landmark candidates of the theory and software areas, by verdict and primary category.}\label{tab:theory_landmark_audit} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_theory_landmarks_discussed.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./literature_synthesis/agent_G/contributions.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Landmark candidates of the theory and software areas retained as in-scope research or survey contributions, with the contribution type judged from the abstract or metadata.}\label{tab:theory_landmarks_discussed}\\ | 3 | \caption{Landmark candidates of the theory and software areas retained as in-scope research or survey contributions, with the contribution type judged from the abstract or metadata.}\label{tab:theory_landmarks_discussed}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_theory_llm_cooccurrence.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_cooccurrence_yearly.csv, ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{Co-classification of theory and software works with the LLM category, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the category's multi-label count.}\label{tab:theory_llm_cooccurrence}\\ | 3 | \caption{Co-classification of theory and software works with the LLM category, by publication year: number of works carrying both categories and share of the category's multi-label count.}\label{tab:theory_llm_cooccurrence}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_theory_summary.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv, /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/econometrics/breaks.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/graph/category_counts_yearly.csv, ./results/econometrics/breaks.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Growth and structural-change summary for the six theory and software categories (multi-label counts).}\label{tab:theory_summary} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{Growth and structural-change summary for the six theory and software categories (multi-label counts).}\label{tab:theory_summary} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrrrrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_top_cited.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_cited_by_year.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/top_cited_by_year.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{The ten most cited works of each publication year by 36-month window citations (c36), with total citations to date.}\label{tab:top_cited}\\ | 3 | \caption{The ten most cited works of each publication year by 36-month window citations (c36), with total citations to date.}\label{tab:top_cited}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_top_institutions.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/top_institutions_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The twenty-five institutions with the largest fractional output in the post period, with their baseline output.}\label{tab:top_institutions} | 2 | \begin{table}[htbp]\centering\caption{The twenty-five institutions with the largest fractional output in the post period, with their baseline output.}\label{tab:top_institutions} | ||
| 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | 3 | \begin{threeparttable}\small | ||
| 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrr} | 4 | \begin{tabular}{lrrrrr} | ||
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manuscript/tables/tab_top_sources.tex
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| 1 | −% generated by tables/make_tables.py from /Users/simon-pierreboucher/Desktop/UQO/Recherche/Recherche-UQO/informatique/wp44/results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv | 1 | +% generated by tables/make_tables.py from ./results/bibliometrics/top_sources_by_period.csv | ||
| 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrr} | 2 | \begin{longtable}{lrrrrrr} | ||
| 3 | \caption{The twenty largest sources (venues) by period, with OpenAlex source type.}\label{tab:top_sources}\\ | 3 | \caption{The twenty largest sources (venues) by period, with OpenAlex source type.}\label{tab:top_sources}\\ | ||
| 4 | \toprule | 4 | \toprule | ||
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tables/make_tables.py
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@@ -410,11 +410,11 @@ def tables_part08_categories(): | |||||
| 410 | for c in cats: | 410 | for c in cats: | ||
| 411 | if (c, "baseline") not in g.index or (c, "post") not in g.index: continue | 411 | if (c, "baseline") not in g.index or (c, "post") not in g.index: continue | ||
| 412 | b = g.loc[(c, "baseline")]; q = g.loc[(c, "post")] | 412 | b = g.loc[(c, "baseline")]; q = g.loc[(c, "post")] | ||
| 413 | − rows.append({"Category": cname[c], "Works, base": int(b.n), "Works, post": int(q.n), "CN, base": b.cn, "CN, post": q.cn, "US, base": b.us, "US, post": q.us, "Comp., base": b.company, "Comp., post": q.company, "Intl., base": b.intl, "Intl., post": q.intl}) | 413 | + rows.append({"Category": cname[c], "CN, base": b.cn, "CN, post": q.cn, "US, base": b.us, "US, post": q.us, "Comp., base": b.company, "Comp., post": q.company, "Intl., base": b.intl, "Intl., post": q.intl}) | ||
| 414 | ra = pd.DataFrame(rows); ra["ai"] = [carea[c] == "ai_ml" for c in cats if (c, "baseline") in g.index and (c, "post") in g.index] | 414 | ra = pd.DataFrame(rows); ra["ai"] = [carea[c] == "ai_ml" for c in cats if (c, "baseline") in g.index and (c, "post") in g.index] | ||
| 415 | cnt = lambda col_b, col_p, ai: int(((ra[col_p] > ra[col_b]) & (ra.ai == ai)).sum()); nai = int(ra.ai.sum()); not_ = int((~ra.ai).sum()) | 415 | cnt = lambda col_b, col_p, ai: int(((ra[col_p] > ra[col_b]) & (ra.ai == ai)).sum()); nai = int(ra.ai.sum()); not_ = int((~ra.ai).sum()) | ||
| 416 | write("tab_net_category_actors", pd.DataFrame(rows), "Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).", "tab:net_category_actors", [p], fmt={k: "{:.1f}" for k in ["CN, base", "CN, post", "US, base", "US, post", "Comp., base", "Comp., post", "Intl., base", "Intl., post"]}, longtable=True, | 416 | write("tab_net_category_actors", pd.DataFrame(rows), "Shares of works with a China-affiliated author, a United States-affiliated author, a company affiliation and authors in at least two countries, by primary category and period (per cent).", "tab:net_category_actors", [p], fmt={k: "{:.1f}" for k in ["CN, base", "CN, post", "US, base", "US, post", "Comp., base", "Comp., post", "Intl., base", "Intl., post"]}, longtable=True, | ||
| 417 | − note=f"Baseline: works dated 2018-01-01 to 2022-11-29; post: 2022-11-30 to 2026-11-02 (incomplete). Shares are over all works of the category, including works without affiliation data, so they are depressed where affiliation coverage is low (recent cohorts, preprint-heavy categories) and are not comparable with the typed-denominator shares of Tables~\\ref{{tab:industry}} and~\\ref{{tab:country_concentration}}; comparisons across periods within a category carry this caveat. Comp. = at least one company-typed affiliation; Intl. = at least two author countries. Categories whose post share exceeds their baseline share: China-affiliated, {cnt('CN, base', 'CN, post', True)} of the {nai} AI/ML categories and {cnt('CN, base', 'CN, post', False)} of the {not_} others; company, {cnt('Comp., base', 'Comp., post', True)} of {nai} and {cnt('Comp., base', 'Comp., post', False)} of {not_}; international, {cnt('Intl., base', 'Intl., post', True)} of {nai} and {cnt('Intl., base', 'Intl., post', False)} of {not_}.") | 417 | + note=f"Baseline: works dated 2018-01-01 to 2022-11-29; post: 2022-11-30 to 2026-11-02 (incomplete). Shares are over all works of the category, including works without affiliation data, so they are depressed where affiliation coverage is low (recent cohorts, preprint-heavy categories) and are not comparable with the typed-denominator shares of Tables~\\ref{{tab:industry}} and~\\ref{{tab:country_concentration}}; comparisons across periods within a category carry this caveat. Comp. = at least one company-typed affiliation; Intl. = at least two author countries; works per category and period are in Part~IX. Categories whose post share exceeds their baseline share: China-affiliated, {cnt('CN, base', 'CN, post', True)} of the {nai} AI/ML categories and {cnt('CN, base', 'CN, post', False)} of the {not_} others; company, {cnt('Comp., base', 'Comp., post', True)} of {nai} and {cnt('Comp., base', 'Comp., post', False)} of {not_}; international, {cnt('Intl., base', 'Intl., post', True)} of {nai} and {cnt('Intl., base', 'Intl., post', False)} of {not_}.") | ||
| 418 | a["grp"] = np.where(a.primary_category.map(carea) == "ai_ml", "AI/ML area", "Other areas"); h = a.groupby(["grp", "period"])[["n", "cn", "us", "company", "intl", "arxiv", "oa"]].sum() | 418 | a["grp"] = np.where(a.primary_category.map(carea) == "ai_ml", "AI/ML area", "Other areas"); h = a.groupby(["grp", "period"])[["n", "cn", "us", "company", "intl", "arxiv", "oa"]].sum() | ||
| 419 | for c in ["cn", "us", "company", "intl", "arxiv", "oa"]: h[c] = 100 * h[c] / h.n | 419 | for c in ["cn", "us", "company", "intl", "arxiv", "oa"]: h[c] = 100 * h[c] / h.n | ||
| 420 | rows = [{"Group": grp, "Period": pr, "Works": int(h.loc[(grp, pr)].n), "CN (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].cn, "US (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].us, "Company (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].company, "Intl. (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].intl, "arXiv (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].arxiv, "OA (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].oa} for grp in ["AI/ML area", "Other areas"] for pr in ["baseline", "post"]] | 420 | rows = [{"Group": grp, "Period": pr, "Works": int(h.loc[(grp, pr)].n), "CN (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].cn, "US (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].us, "Company (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].company, "Intl. (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].intl, "arXiv (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].arxiv, "OA (%)": h.loc[(grp, pr)].oa} for grp in ["AI/ML area", "Other areas"] for pr in ["baseline", "post"]] | ||
@@ -442,9 +442,9 @@ def tables_part08_categories(): | |||||
| 442 | note=f"Gini of $c^{{(36)}}$ over the works whose primary category is the row category (Section~\\ref{{sec:m-citations}}); a blank cell is a category with no works in the year. Base mean: mean over {base[0]}--{base[-1]}. The {last} window ends in {last + 2}, whose slower indexing channels were incomplete at the snapshot, so the {last} values carry the right-truncation caveat of Table~\\ref{{tab:citation_windows}}. Very small categories and categories whose {last} value is far from every earlier value may reflect single misattributed records (Section~\\ref{{sec:net-topcited}}). Count of categories whose {last} Gini exceeds their baseline mean: {up['ai_ml']} of the {tot_ai} AI/ML categories and {up['other']} of the {tot_ot} other categories.") | 442 | note=f"Gini of $c^{{(36)}}$ over the works whose primary category is the row category (Section~\\ref{{sec:m-citations}}); a blank cell is a category with no works in the year. Base mean: mean over {base[0]}--{base[-1]}. The {last} window ends in {last + 2}, whose slower indexing channels were incomplete at the snapshot, so the {last} values carry the right-truncation caveat of Table~\\ref{{tab:citation_windows}}. Very small categories and categories whose {last} value is far from every earlier value may reflect single misattributed records (Section~\\ref{{sec:net-topcited}}). Count of categories whose {last} Gini exceeds their baseline mean: {up['ai_ml']} of the {tot_ai} AI/ML categories and {up['other']} of the {tot_ot} other categories.") | ||
| 443 | i["grp"] = np.where(i.primary_category.map(carea) == "ai_ml", "AI/ML", "Other"); i["g"] = i.gini_c36 * i.n; i["u"] = i.share_uncited_36 * i.n; i["t10"] = i.share_top10_fwci * i.n; i["m"] = i.mean_c36 * i.n | 443 | i["grp"] = np.where(i.primary_category.map(carea) == "ai_ml", "AI/ML", "Other"); i["g"] = i.gini_c36 * i.n; i["u"] = i.share_uncited_36 * i.n; i["t10"] = i.share_top10_fwci * i.n; i["m"] = i.mean_c36 * i.n | ||
| 444 | h = i.groupby(["grp", "year"])[["n", "g", "u", "t10", "m"]].sum() | 444 | h = i.groupby(["grp", "year"])[["n", "g", "u", "t10", "m"]].sum() | ||
| 445 | − rows = [{"Year": str(y), "Works, AI/ML": int(h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n), "Works, other": int(h.loc[("Other", y)].n), "Gini, AI/ML": h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].g / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Gini, other": h.loc[("Other", y)].g / h.loc[("Other", y)].n, "Mean c36, AI/ML": h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].m / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Mean c36, other": h.loc[("Other", y)].m / h.loc[("Other", y)].n, "Uncited, AI/ML (%)": 100 * h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].u / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Uncited, other (%)": 100 * h.loc[("Other", y)].u / h.loc[("Other", y)].n, "Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (%)": 100 * h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].t10 / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Top decile FWCI, other (%)": 100 * h.loc[("Other", y)].t10 / h.loc[("Other", y)].n} for y in yrs] | 445 | + rows = [{"Year": str(y), "Gini, AI/ML": h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].g / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Gini, other": h.loc[("Other", y)].g / h.loc[("Other", y)].n, "Uncited, AI/ML (%)": 100 * h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].u / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Uncited, other (%)": 100 * h.loc[("Other", y)].u / h.loc[("Other", y)].n, "Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (%)": 100 * h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].t10 / h.loc[("AI/ML", y)].n, "Top decile FWCI, other (%)": 100 * h.loc[("Other", y)].t10 / h.loc[("Other", y)].n} for y in yrs] | ||
| 446 | − write("tab_net_gini_ai_vs_rest", pd.DataFrame(rows), "Citation inequality and levels at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.", "tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest", [p], fmt={"Gini, AI/ML": "{:.3f}", "Gini, other": "{:.3f}", "Mean c36, AI/ML": "{:.2f}", "Mean c36, other": "{:.2f}", "Uncited, AI/ML (%)": "{:.1f}", "Uncited, other (%)": "{:.1f}", "Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (%)": "{:.1f}", "Top decile FWCI, other (%)": "{:.1f}"}, | 446 | + write("tab_net_gini_ai_vs_rest", pd.DataFrame(rows), "Citation inequality at 36 months, AI/ML area against all other areas, by publication year with a complete window.", "tab:net_gini_ai_vs_rest", [p], fmt={"Gini, AI/ML": "{:.3f}", "Gini, other": "{:.3f}", "Uncited, AI/ML (%)": "{:.1f}", "Uncited, other (%)": "{:.1f}", "Top decile FWCI, AI/ML (%)": "{:.1f}", "Top decile FWCI, other (%)": "{:.1f}"}, | ||
| 447 | − note="Group statistics are work-weighted means of the category statistics of Table~\\ref{tab:net_category_gini} (the Gini is therefore a weighted mean of within-category Ginis, not the Gini of the pooled group). Top decile FWCI: share of works in the top decile of OpenAlex field-weighted citation impact. The last year carries the right-truncation caveat.") | 447 | + note="Group statistics are work-weighted means of the category statistics of Table~\\ref{tab:net_category_gini} (the Gini is therefore a weighted mean of within-category Ginis, not the Gini of the pooled group); group sizes are the sums of the category counts of \\texttt{category\\_impact\\_yearly.csv}. Top decile FWCI: share of works in the top decile of OpenAlex field-weighted citation impact. The last year carries the right-truncation caveat.") | ||
| 448 | 448 | ||||
| 449 | 449 | ||||
| 450 | 450 | ||||
| 451 | 451 | ||||