| 74 | - **Outcomes** (finance held-out, n = 24 paired): H1 D−B: clarity −0.12 [−0.31, 0.03], argument_logic +0.04 [−0.16, 0.22], contribution 0.00 [−0.28, 0.28] → **not supported**. H2 D−C: all |Δ| ≤ 0.12, intervals include 0 → **not supported**. **H3 E−D: methodological_rigor +0.96 [0.44, 1.47] Holm p = 0.0085; fidelity +0.46 [0.03, 0.69] Holm p = 0.024 → supported**; usefulness −0.33 [−0.78, 0.06] n.s. (trade-off). Exploratory E−A rigor +1.33 [0.84, 2.28] p = 0.002; E−B rigor +1.08 [0.56, 1.81] p = 0.009. Ablations: E − no_referee rigor +1.25 [0.63, 1.88], fidelity +0.56 [0.13, 1.13], argument_logic +0.50 [0.06, 0.94]; no_retrieval / no_profile / no_factcheck ≈ 0. H4: unverifiable citations ≈ 0 everywhere (−0.08 E−A); unsupported claims E−C −1.00 [−1.59, −0.16] (unadjusted p = 0.009), E−A −0.46, E−B −0.42 (n.s.); new numbers −0.17/−0.21/−0.42 (n.s.). H5: preregistered metric max 0.40 (self-overlap: improve_abstract 0.25, rewrite_literature 0.08); excluding the source document max 0.007, 100% < 0.02. Judge second pass (50 pairs): Spearman clarity 0.41, argument 0.58, contribution 0.84, rigor 0.80, fidelity 0.75, usefulness 0.53; MAD 0.26–0.40. Cost/latency: E 0.32 USD, 98 s vs D 0.15 USD, 49 s. OOD WP29 (n = 1): no E advantage. |
74 | - **Outcomes** (finance held-out, n = 24 paired): H1 D−B: clarity −0.12 [−0.31, 0.03], argument_logic +0.04 [−0.16, 0.22], contribution 0.00 [−0.28, 0.28] → **not supported**. H2 D−C: all |Δ| ≤ 0.12, intervals include 0 → **not supported**. **H3 E−D: methodological_rigor +0.96 [0.44, 1.47] Holm p = 0.0085; fidelity +0.46 [0.03, 0.69] Holm p = 0.024 → supported**; usefulness −0.33 [−0.78, 0.06] n.s. (trade-off). Exploratory E−A rigor +1.33 [0.84, 2.28] p = 0.002; E−B rigor +1.08 [0.56, 1.81] p = 0.009. Ablations: E − no_referee rigor +1.25 [0.63, 1.88], fidelity +0.56 [0.13, 1.13], argument_logic +0.50 [0.06, 0.94]; no_retrieval / no_profile / no_factcheck ≈ 0. H4: unverifiable citations ≈ 0 everywhere (−0.08 E−A); unsupported claims E−C −1.00 [−1.59, −0.16] (unadjusted p = 0.009), E−A −0.46, E−B −0.42 (n.s.); new numbers −0.17/−0.21/−0.42 (n.s.). H5: preregistered metric max 0.40 (self-overlap: improve_abstract 0.25, rewrite_literature 0.08); excluding the source document max 0.007, 100% < 0.02. Judge second pass (50 pairs): Spearman clarity 0.41, argument 0.58, contribution 0.84, rigor 0.80, fidelity 0.75, usefulness 0.53; MAD 0.26–0.40. Cost/latency: E 0.32 USD, 98 s vs D 0.15 USD, 49 s. OOD WP29 (n = 1): no E advantage. |