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WP45 v1.0: benchmark run 2 (A-004), results/ablations/failure sections, revised intro/discussion, delivery report, paper 75 p. compiled

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5.1 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Simon-Pierre Boucher committed (Nov 4, 2026) parent b2ea7cd Browse files

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modified README.md +11 −11
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
3 3
4 **UQO Working Paper No. 45** — *A measured-convention writing engine for Claude Code, built from 276 Journal of Finance articles (2017–2020), with a preregistered evaluation* 4 **UQO Working Paper No. 45** — *A measured-convention writing engine for Claude Code, built from 276 Journal of Finance articles (2017–2020), with a preregistered evaluation*
5 5
6−[![Paper](https://img.shields.io/badge/paper-PDF-b31b1b?logo=latex&logoColor=white)](paper/main.pdf) 6+[![Paper](https://img.shields.io/badge/paper-PDF%20(75%20p.)-b31b1b?logo=latex&logoColor=white)](paper/main.pdf)
7 [![Python](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.12-3776AB?logo=python&logoColor=white)](pyproject.toml) 7 [![Python](https://img.shields.io/badge/python-3.12-3776AB?logo=python&logoColor=white)](pyproject.toml)
8 [![Data](https://img.shields.io/badge/data-276%20JoF%20articles%20·%20private-4051b5)](docs/RIGHTS_AND_ETHICS.md) 8 [![Data](https://img.shields.io/badge/data-276%20JoF%20articles%20·%20private-4051b5)](docs/RIGHTS_AND_ETHICS.md)
9 [![Reproducible](https://img.shields.io/badge/reproducible-make%20pipeline-2e7d32)](docs/REPRODUCIBILITY.md) 9 [![Reproducible](https://img.shields.io/badge/reproducible-make%20pipeline-2e7d32)](docs/REPRODUCIBILITY.md)
@@ -28,16 +28,16 @@ It asks whether *abstract, domain-specific writing conventions* extracted from a
28 | Object | Estimate | 28 | Object | Estimate |
29 |---|---| 29 |---|---|
30 | Corpus | 276 JoF documents (2017–2020), 276/276 Crossref-verified, 276/276 parsed and annotated | 30 | Corpus | 276 JoF documents (2017–2020), 276/276 Crossref-verified, 276/276 parsed and annotated |
31−| H1: profiles + structured retrieval (D) vs strong prompt (B), argument logic | +0.33 [−0.22, 0.66], Holm p = 0.45 → not supported | 31+| H1: profiles + structured retrieval (D) vs strong prompt (B), argument logic | +0.04 [−0.16, 0.22], Holm p = 1.0 → not supported |
32−| H2: D vs conventional RAG (C), argument logic | +0.08 [−0.44, 0.47] → not supported | 32+| H2: D vs conventional RAG (C), argument logic | −0.12 [−0.22, 0.03] → not supported |
33−| H3: full engine (E) vs D, methodological rigor | **+1.33 [1.00, 1.84], Holm p = 0.0003** | 33+| H3: full engine (E) vs D, methodological rigor | **+0.96 [0.44, 1.47], Holm p = 0.0085** |
34−| H3: E vs D, fidelity | **+0.62 [0.31, 1.03], Holm p = 0.004** | 34+| H3: E vs D, fidelity | **+0.46 [0.03, 0.69], Holm p = 0.024** (usefulness −0.33 [−0.78, 0.06], n.s.) |
35−| Ablation: E − E without referee pass, rigor | +1.63 (retrieval/profile/fact-check ablations ≈ 0) | 35+| Ablation: E − E without referee pass, rigor | +1.25 [0.63, 1.88] (retrieval/profile/fact-check ablations ≈ 0) |
36−| New numbers absent from the source, E − A | −0.88 [−1.94, −0.03] | 36+| Unsupported-claim sentences, E − C | −1.00 [−1.59, −0.16] (unverifiable citations ≈ 0 in every condition) |
37−| Max 8-gram overlap with any corpus article other than the task's source | 0.006 (100% of outputs < 0.02) | 37+| Max 8-gram overlap with any corpus article other than the task's source | 0.007 (100% of outputs < 0.02) |
38−| Cost / latency per task, E vs D | 0.20 vs 0.10 USD; 80 vs 38 s | 38+| Cost / latency per task, E vs D | 0.32 vs 0.15 USD; 98 vs 49 s |
39− 39+
40−Full tables: `experiments/analysis/`; limitations: `docs/LIMITATIONS.md` (pilot scale, LLM judge, no human raters). 40+Run 2 of the protocol (run 1 discarded after two implementation defects, Amendment A-004, archived in `experiments/outputs/heldout_v1_run1/`). Full tables: `experiments/analysis/`; limitations: `docs/LIMITATIONS.md` (pilot scale, LLM judge, no human raters).
41 41
42 ## 🗂 Repository layout 42 ## 🗂 Repository layout
43 `CLAUDE.md` (mandate) · `config/` · `src/jof250/` · `prompts/` · `profiles/` · `.claude/{commands,agents,skills}` · `experiments/{preregistration.md,protocols,fixtures,outputs,analysis}` · `paper/` · `tests/` · `scripts/` · `docs/`. 43 `CLAUDE.md` (mandate) · `config/` · `src/jof250/` · `prompts/` · `profiles/` · `.claude/{commands,agents,skills}` · `experiments/{preregistration.md,protocols,fixtures,outputs,analysis}` · `paper/` · `tests/` · `scripts/` · `docs/`.
modified data/annotations/api_ledger.jsonl +296 −0
@@ -599,3 +599,299 @@
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