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1% ============================================================================2% UQO Working Paper No. 6 -- references.bib3% Every entry verified against Crossref on 2026-10-17 (editorial-board revision);4% DOIs recorded. See docs/CHANGELOG-REVISION.md for the verification log.5% ============================================================================67% ---------------------------------------------------------------- realized volatility8@article{Andersen1997,9  author  = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim},10  title   = {Intraday Periodicity and Volatility Persistence in Financial Markets},11  journal = {Journal of Empirical Finance},12  year    = {1997},13  volume  = {4},14  number  = {2--3},15  pages   = {115--158},16  doi     = {10.1016/S0927-5398(97)00004-2}17}1819@article{Andersen1998,20  author  = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim},21  title   = {Deutsche Mark--Dollar Volatility: Intraday Activity Patterns, Macroeconomic Announcements, and Longer Run Dependencies},22  journal = {Journal of Finance},23  year    = {1998},24  volume  = {53},25  number  = {1},26  pages   = {219--265},27  doi     = {10.1111/0022-1082.85732}28}2930@article{Andersen2001,31  author  = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X. and Labys, Paul},32  title   = {The Distribution of Realized Exchange Rate Volatility},33  journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},34  year    = {2001},35  volume  = {96},36  number  = {453},37  pages   = {42--55},38  doi     = {10.1198/016214501750332965}39}4041@article{Andersen2003,42  author  = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X. and Labys, Paul},43  title   = {Modeling and Forecasting Realized Volatility},44  journal = {Econometrica},45  year    = {2003},46  volume  = {71},47  number  = {2},48  pages   = {579--625},49  doi     = {10.1111/1468-0262.00418}50}5152@article{Andersen2007,53  author  = {Andersen, Torben G. and Bollerslev, Tim and Diebold, Francis X.},54  title   = {Roughing It Up: Including Jump Components in the Measurement, Modeling, and Forecasting of Return Volatility},55  journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},56  year    = {2007},57  volume  = {89},58  number  = {4},59  pages   = {701--720},60  doi     = {10.1162/rest.89.4.701}61}6263@article{AitSahalia2005,64  author  = {A{\"i}t-Sahalia, Yacine and Mykland, Per A. and Zhang, Lan},65  title   = {How Often to Sample a Continuous-Time Process in the Presence of Market Microstructure Noise},66  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},67  year    = {2005},68  volume  = {18},69  number  = {2},70  pages   = {351--416},71  doi     = {10.1093/rfs/hhi016}72}7374@article{BarndorffNielsen2002,75  author  = {Barndorff-Nielsen, Ole E. and Shephard, Neil},76  title   = {Econometric Analysis of Realized Volatility and Its Use in Estimating Stochastic Volatility Models},77  journal = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B},78  year    = {2002},79  volume  = {64},80  number  = {2},81  pages   = {253--280},82  doi     = {10.1111/1467-9868.00336}83}8485@article{Bollerslev2016,86  author  = {Bollerslev, Tim and Patton, Andrew J. and Quaedvlieg, Rogier},87  title   = {Exploiting the Errors: A Simple Approach for Improved Volatility Forecasting},88  journal = {Journal of Econometrics},89  year    = {2016},90  volume  = {192},91  number  = {1},92  pages   = {1--18},93  doi     = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.10.007}94}9596@article{Corsi2009,97  author  = {Corsi, Fulvio},98  title   = {A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility},99  journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics},100  year    = {2009},101  volume  = {7},102  number  = {2},103  pages   = {174--196},104  doi     = {10.1093/jjfinec/nbp001}105}106107@article{HansenLunde2006,108  author  = {Hansen, Peter R. and Lunde, Asger},109  title   = {Realized Variance and Market Microstructure Noise},110  journal = {Journal of Business \& Economic Statistics},111  year    = {2006},112  volume  = {24},113  number  = {2},114  pages   = {127--161},115  doi     = {10.1198/073500106000000071}116}117118@article{Liu2015,119  author  = {Liu, Lily Y. and Patton, Andrew J. and Sheppard, Kevin},120  title   = {Does Anything Beat 5-Minute {RV}? {A} Comparison of Realized Measures Across Multiple Asset Classes},121  journal = {Journal of Econometrics},122  year    = {2015},123  volume  = {187},124  number  = {1},125  pages   = {293--311},126  doi     = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.02.008}127}128129@article{Zhang2005,130  author  = {Zhang, Lan and Mykland, Per A. and A{\"i}t-Sahalia, Yacine},131  title   = {A Tale of Two Time Scales: Determining Integrated Volatility with Noisy High-Frequency Data},132  journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},133  year    = {2005},134  volume  = {100},135  number  = {472},136  pages   = {1394--1411},137  doi     = {10.1198/016214505000000169}138}139140% ---------------------------------------------------------------- connectedness141@article{Antonakakis2020,142  author  = {Antonakakis, Nikolaos and Chatziantoniou, Ioannis and Gabauer, David},143  title   = {Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness Based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions},144  journal = {Journal of Risk and Financial Management},145  year    = {2020},146  volume  = {13},147  number  = {4},148  pages   = {84},149  doi     = {10.3390/jrfm13040084}150}151152@article{Barunik2016,153  author  = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and Ko{\v{c}}enda, Ev{\v{z}}en and V{\'a}cha, Luk{\'a}{\v{s}}},154  title   = {Asymmetric Connectedness on the {U.S.} Stock Market: Bad and Good Volatility Spillovers},155  journal = {Journal of Financial Markets},156  year    = {2016},157  volume  = {27},158  pages   = {55--78},159  doi     = {10.1016/j.finmar.2015.09.003}160}161162@article{Barunik2017,163  author  = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and Ko{\v{c}}enda, Ev{\v{z}}en and V{\'a}cha, Luk{\'a}{\v{s}}},164  title   = {Asymmetric Volatility Connectedness on the Forex Market},165  journal = {Journal of International Money and Finance},166  year    = {2017},167  volume  = {77},168  pages   = {39--56},169  doi     = {10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.06.003}170}171172@article{Barunik2018,173  author  = {Barun{\'i}k, Jozef and K{\v{r}}ehl{\'i}k, Tom{\'a}{\v{s}}},174  title   = {Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk},175  journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics},176  year    = {2018},177  volume  = {16},178  number  = {2},179  pages   = {271--296},180  doi     = {10.1093/jjfinec/nby001}181}182183@article{Demirer2018,184  author  = {Demirer, Mert and Diebold, Francis X. and Liu, Laura and Yilmaz, Kamil},185  title   = {Estimating Global Bank Network Connectedness},186  journal = {Journal of Applied Econometrics},187  year    = {2018},188  volume  = {33},189  number  = {1},190  pages   = {1--15},191  doi     = {10.1002/jae.2585}192}193194@article{DieboldYilmaz2009,195  author  = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil},196  title   = {Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets},197  journal = {Economic Journal},198  year    = {2009},199  volume  = {119},200  number  = {534},201  pages   = {158--171},202  doi     = {10.1111/j.1468-0297.2008.02208.x}203}204205@article{DieboldYilmaz2012,206  author  = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil},207  title   = {Better to Give than to Receive: Predictive Directional Measurement of Volatility Spillovers},208  journal = {International Journal of Forecasting},209  year    = {2012},210  volume  = {28},211  number  = {1},212  pages   = {57--66},213  doi     = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2011.02.006}214}215216@article{DieboldYilmaz2014,217  author  = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil},218  title   = {On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms},219  journal = {Journal of Econometrics},220  year    = {2014},221  volume  = {182},222  number  = {1},223  pages   = {119--134},224  doi     = {10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.04.012}225}226227@article{DieboldYilmaz2016,228  author  = {Diebold, Francis X. and Yilmaz, Kamil},229  title   = {Trans-Atlantic Equity Volatility Connectedness: {U.S.} and {European} Financial Institutions, 2004--2014},230  journal = {Journal of Financial Econometrics},231  year    = {2016},232  volume  = {14},233  number  = {1},234  pages   = {81--127},235  doi     = {10.1093/jjfinec/nbv021}236}237238@article{GreenwoodNimmo2016,239  author  = {Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew and Nguyen, Viet Hoang and Rafferty, Barry},240  title   = {Risk and Return Spillovers among the {G10} Currencies},241  journal = {Journal of Financial Markets},242  year    = {2016},243  volume  = {31},244  pages   = {43--62},245  doi     = {10.1016/j.finmar.2016.05.001}246}247248@article{Koop1996,249  author  = {Koop, Gary and Pesaran, M. Hashem and Potter, Simon M.},250  title   = {Impulse Response Analysis in Nonlinear Multivariate Models},251  journal = {Journal of Econometrics},252  year    = {1996},253  volume  = {74},254  number  = {1},255  pages   = {119--147},256  doi     = {10.1016/0304-4076(95)01753-4}257}258259@article{Lastrapes2021,260  author  = {Lastrapes, William D. and Wiesen, Thomas F. P.},261  title   = {The Joint Spillover Index},262  journal = {Economic Modelling},263  year    = {2021},264  volume  = {94},265  pages   = {681--691},266  doi     = {10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.010}267}268269@article{Pesaran1998,270  author  = {Pesaran, M. Hashem and Shin, Yongcheol},271  title   = {Generalized Impulse Response Analysis in Linear Multivariate Models},272  journal = {Economics Letters},273  year    = {1998},274  volume  = {58},275  number  = {1},276  pages   = {17--29},277  doi     = {10.1016/S0165-1765(97)00214-0}278}279280% ---------------------------------------------------------------- time-series econometrics281@article{DickeyFuller1979,282  author  = {Dickey, David A. and Fuller, Wayne A.},283  title   = {Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root},284  journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},285  year    = {1979},286  volume  = {74},287  number  = {366},288  pages   = {427--431},289  doi     = {10.2307/2286348}290}291292@article{Granger1969,293  author  = {Granger, Clive W. J.},294  title   = {Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods},295  journal = {Econometrica},296  year    = {1969},297  volume  = {37},298  number  = {3},299  pages   = {424--438},300  doi     = {10.2307/1912791}301}302303@article{Kilian1998,304  author  = {Kilian, Lutz},305  title   = {Small-Sample Confidence Intervals for Impulse Response Functions},306  journal = {Review of Economics and Statistics},307  year    = {1998},308  volume  = {80},309  number  = {2},310  pages   = {218--230},311  doi     = {10.1162/003465398557465}312}313314@book{KilianLutkepohl2017,315  author    = {Kilian, Lutz and L{\"u}tkepohl, Helmut},316  title     = {Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis},317  publisher = {Cambridge University Press},318  address   = {Cambridge},319  year      = {2017},320  doi       = {10.1017/9781108164818}321}322323@article{Kwiatkowski1992,324  author  = {Kwiatkowski, Denis and Phillips, Peter C. B. and Schmidt, Peter and Shin, Yongcheol},325  title   = {Testing the Null Hypothesis of Stationarity against the Alternative of a Unit Root},326  journal = {Journal of Econometrics},327  year    = {1992},328  volume  = {54},329  number  = {1--3},330  pages   = {159--178},331  doi     = {10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y}332}333334@book{Lutkepohl2005,335  author    = {L{\"u}tkepohl, Helmut},336  title     = {New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis},337  publisher = {Springer},338  address   = {Berlin},339  year      = {2005},340  doi       = {10.1007/978-3-540-27752-1}341}342343@article{NeweyWest1987,344  author  = {Newey, Whitney K. and West, Kenneth D.},345  title   = {A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite, Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix},346  journal = {Econometrica},347  year    = {1987},348  volume  = {55},349  number  = {3},350  pages   = {703--708},351  doi     = {10.2307/1913610}352}353354% ---------------------------------------------------------------- volatility transmission, contagion, multivariate GARCH355@article{Ang2002,356  author  = {Ang, Andrew and Bekaert, Geert},357  title   = {International Asset Allocation with Regime Shifts},358  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},359  year    = {2002},360  volume  = {15},361  number  = {4},362  pages   = {1137--1187},363  doi     = {10.1093/rfs/15.4.1137}364}365366@article{Baele2005,367  author  = {Baele, Lieven},368  title   = {Volatility Spillover Effects in {European} Equity Markets},369  journal = {Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis},370  year    = {2005},371  volume  = {40},372  number  = {2},373  pages   = {373--401},374  doi     = {10.1017/S0022109000002350}375}376377@article{Engle2002,378  author  = {Engle, Robert},379  title   = {Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models},380  journal = {Journal of Business \& Economic Statistics},381  year    = {2002},382  volume  = {20},383  number  = {3},384  pages   = {339--350},385  doi     = {10.1198/073500102288618487}386}387388@article{Fama1965,389  author  = {Fama, Eugene F.},390  title   = {The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices},391  journal = {Journal of Business},392  year    = {1965},393  volume  = {38},394  number  = {1},395  pages   = {34--105},396  doi     = {10.1086/294743}397}398399@article{Forbes2002,400  author  = {Forbes, Kristin J. and Rigobon, Roberto},401  title   = {No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements},402  journal = {Journal of Finance},403  year    = {2002},404  volume  = {57},405  number  = {5},406  pages   = {2223--2261},407  doi     = {10.1111/0022-1082.00494}408}409410@article{Hamao1990,411  author  = {Hamao, Yasushi and Masulis, Ronald W. and Ng, Victor},412  title   = {Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets},413  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},414  year    = {1990},415  volume  = {3},416  number  = {2},417  pages   = {281--307},418  doi     = {10.1093/rfs/3.2.281}419}420421@article{King1990,422  author  = {King, Mervyn A. and Wadhwani, Sushil},423  title   = {Transmission of Volatility between Stock Markets},424  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},425  year    = {1990},426  volume  = {3},427  number  = {1},428  pages   = {5--33},429  doi     = {10.1093/rfs/3.1.5}430}431432@article{Lin1994,433  author  = {Lin, Wen-Ling and Engle, Robert F. and Ito, Takatoshi},434  title   = {Do Bulls and Bears Move across Borders? {International} Transmission of Stock Returns and Volatility},435  journal = {Review of Financial Studies},436  year    = {1994},437  volume  = {7},438  number  = {3},439  pages   = {507--538},440  doi     = {10.1093/rfs/7.3.507}441}442443@article{Longin2001,444  author  = {Longin, Fran{\c{c}}ois and Solnik, Bruno},445  title   = {Extreme Correlation of International Equity Markets},446  journal = {Journal of Finance},447  year    = {2001},448  volume  = {56},449  number  = {2},450  pages   = {649--676},451  doi     = {10.1111/0022-1082.00340}452}453454@article{Mandelbrot1963,455  author  = {Mandelbrot, Benoit},456  title   = {The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices},457  journal = {Journal of Business},458  year    = {1963},459  volume  = {36},460  number  = {4},461  pages   = {394--419},462  doi     = {10.1086/294632}463}464465% ---------------------------------------------------------------- FX, commodities, VIX466@article{Arouri2011,467  author  = {Arouri, Mohamed El Hedi and Jouini, Jamel and Nguyen, Duc Khuong},468  title   = {Volatility Spillovers between Oil Prices and Stock Sector Returns: Implications for Portfolio Management},469  journal = {Journal of International Money and Finance},470  year    = {2011},471  volume  = {30},472  number  = {7},473  pages   = {1387--1405},474  doi     = {10.1016/j.jimonfin.2011.07.008}475}476477@article{Baur2010,478  author  = {Baur, Dirk G. and Lucey, Brian M.},479  title   = {Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? 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